CAJ | 학술논문

基于GTAP数据库资料,选取了1965—1966年、1975—1976年、1985—1986年、1995—1996年、2005—2006年五个具有代表性的时点做比较,分析了过去40多年间亚洲各区域的农产品贸易规模、结构、格局和流向的演变情况。分析结果表明：亚洲各区域农产品进口和出口均呈向以加工食品居首的模式收敛;经济发展是引起贸易结构向加工食品演变的重要因素;而农业资源禀赋、生产能力则是导致进出口贸易模式转变的重要原因。建议中国应大力发展农产品加工业,制定区域性经贸合作战略来高效率地保障农产品供给,扩大与发展中国家的农业贸易。
기우GTAP수거고자료,선취료1965—1966년、1975—1976년、1985—1986년、1995—1996년、2005—2006년오개구유대표성적시점주비교,분석료과거40다년간아주각구역적농산품무역규모、결구、격국화류향적연변정황。분석결과표명：아주각구역농산품진구화출구균정향이가공식품거수적모식수렴;경제발전시인기무역결구향가공식품연변적중요인소;이농업자원품부、생산능력칙시도치진출구무역모식전변적중요원인。건의중국응대력발전농산품가공업,제정구역성경무합작전략래고효솔지보장농산품공급,확대여발전중국가적농업무역。
Based on GTAP database,this paper selects years from 1965-1966,1975-1976,1985-1986,1995-1996 and 2005-2006 five representative years,discusses the past 40 years of Asian regional agricultural trade scale,structure,pattern and the direction of the flow.The results show that： the Asian regional agricultural imports and exports show the model convergence of processed foods because of economic development;the endowment of agricultural resources,production capacity is the important reason that lead to import and export trade pattern transformation.It is suggested that China should develop the processed industry of agricultural products,develop regional trade and economic cooperation strategy to efficiently protect the supply of agricultural products and expand agricultural trade with developing countries.