西部论坛
西部論罈
서부론단
West Forum
2012年
1期
67~73
,共null页
经济增长率 经济增长来源 索洛增长核算模型 收入函数 地区权重 总产出比重
經濟增長率 經濟增長來源 索洛增長覈算模型 收入函數 地區權重 總產齣比重
경제증장솔 경제증장래원 색락증장핵산모형 수입함수 지구권중 총산출비중
economic growth rate; economic growth source; Solow Growth Calculation Model; income function; regional weight; total output proportion
以往学者在分析区域或国家经济增长率及其来源时,通常将用索洛增长核算模型测算得到的各个地区的经济增长率及其来源进行简单加总取均值,忽略了各个地区占整个区域或国家的比重。基于收入函数相关理论,在分析区域或国家的经济增长率及其来源时,应对各个地区的经济增长率及其来源进行加权处理;从决策单元、子集和总集的层面对索洛增长核算模型进行改进,得到进行加权处理(权重即地区总产出占整个区域或国家总产出的比重)的理论依据和方法。根据改进后的索洛增长核算模型对我国2000年以来的经济增长率及其来源进行实证分析,结果表明,改进后的测算结果较改进前GDP增长率有了一定的提高;而对于西部地区,改进前显著低估了劳动贡献率和TFP贡献率,但却较大程度地高估了资本的贡献率。
以往學者在分析區域或國傢經濟增長率及其來源時,通常將用索洛增長覈算模型測算得到的各箇地區的經濟增長率及其來源進行簡單加總取均值,忽略瞭各箇地區佔整箇區域或國傢的比重。基于收入函數相關理論,在分析區域或國傢的經濟增長率及其來源時,應對各箇地區的經濟增長率及其來源進行加權處理;從決策單元、子集和總集的層麵對索洛增長覈算模型進行改進,得到進行加權處理(權重即地區總產齣佔整箇區域或國傢總產齣的比重)的理論依據和方法。根據改進後的索洛增長覈算模型對我國2000年以來的經濟增長率及其來源進行實證分析,結果錶明,改進後的測算結果較改進前GDP增長率有瞭一定的提高;而對于西部地區,改進前顯著低估瞭勞動貢獻率和TFP貢獻率,但卻較大程度地高估瞭資本的貢獻率。
이왕학자재분석구역혹국가경제증장솔급기래원시,통상장용색락증장핵산모형측산득도적각개지구적경제증장솔급기래원진행간단가총취균치,홀략료각개지구점정개구역혹국가적비중。기우수입함수상관이론,재분석구역혹국가적경제증장솔급기래원시,응대각개지구적경제증장솔급기래원진행가권처리;종결책단원、자집화총집적층면대색락증장핵산모형진행개진,득도진행가권처리(권중즉지구총산출점정개구역혹국가총산출적비중)적이론의거화방법。근거개진후적색락증장핵산모형대아국2000년이래적경제증장솔급기래원진행실증분석,결과표명,개진후적측산결과교개진전GDP증장솔유료일정적제고;이대우서부지구,개진전현저저고료노동공헌솔화TFP공헌솔,단각교대정도지고고료자본적공헌솔。
When previous scholars analyzed regional or national economic growth rate and their sources,they usually used Solow Growth Calculation Model to obtain mean value by making brief sum of economic growth rate and its sources of all regions but overlooked its proportion of each region to all regions or the whole country.Based on the related income function theory,when regional or national economic growth rate and its sources are analyzed,economic growth rate and its sources of each region should be calculated by weight and Solow Growth Calculation Model should be improved on the level of decision unit,subset and sylloge to get the proportion of regional total output to the output of all regions or the whole country on theoretical basis and by method of weight.According to the improved Solow Growth Calculation Model,this paper makes empirical analysis of China's economic growth rate and its sources since 2000,the results show that GDP growth rate is higher from the calculation by improved Model than by original Model and that labor contribution rate and TFP contribution rate are significantly underestimated for west regions of China but capital contribution rate is highly estimated by unimproved Model.