中国人口资源与环境
中國人口資源與環境
중국인구자원여배경
China Polulation.Resources and Environment
2012年
2期
94~99
,共null页
个人特征 家庭特征 农村菲农就业 Probit模型
箇人特徵 傢庭特徵 農村菲農就業 Probit模型
개인특정 가정특정 농촌비농취업 Probit모형
individual features ; family traits ; non-farm employment; probit model
工业化对于一个国家或地区经济腾飞的重要性。已经被西方发达国家的经验和道路所证实。在实现工业化的过程中。农村劳动力转移是世界各国都曾经或必将面对的重要课题。本文运用行为主义研究方法。利用2003—2006年全国农村固定观察点的数据，建立Probit模型实证分析了农民个体特征和农户家庭特征对农村非农就业的影响。研究发现：就样本个人特征而言，户主或家庭主要经营者、男性、文化程度较高、身体健康的农民从事农村非农就业的意愿更强，职业教育或培训对于农村非农就业有明显的促进作用，而是否农业户口对农村非农就业的影响并不明显。就样本家庭特征而言，家庭类型会影响农民在农村的非农就业倾向，同时。乡村干部户从事非农产韭的倾向性更强，少数民族户和信教户从事非农产业的倾向性较弱，“是否国家干部职工户”、“是否党员户”对农村非农就业的影响并不显著。重视农民的个人特征和家庭特征蓑异，大力发展农村非农产业。促进农村非农就业是我国政府解决农村剩余劳动力转移问题的重要战略选择。
工業化對于一箇國傢或地區經濟騰飛的重要性。已經被西方髮達國傢的經驗和道路所證實。在實現工業化的過程中。農村勞動力轉移是世界各國都曾經或必將麵對的重要課題。本文運用行為主義研究方法。利用2003—2006年全國農村固定觀察點的數據，建立Probit模型實證分析瞭農民箇體特徵和農戶傢庭特徵對農村非農就業的影響。研究髮現：就樣本箇人特徵而言，戶主或傢庭主要經營者、男性、文化程度較高、身體健康的農民從事農村非農就業的意願更彊，職業教育或培訓對于農村非農就業有明顯的促進作用，而是否農業戶口對農村非農就業的影響併不明顯。就樣本傢庭特徵而言，傢庭類型會影響農民在農村的非農就業傾嚮，同時。鄉村榦部戶從事非農產韭的傾嚮性更彊，少數民族戶和信教戶從事非農產業的傾嚮性較弱，“是否國傢榦部職工戶”、“是否黨員戶”對農村非農就業的影響併不顯著。重視農民的箇人特徵和傢庭特徵簑異，大力髮展農村非農產業。促進農村非農就業是我國政府解決農村剩餘勞動力轉移問題的重要戰略選擇。
공업화대우일개국가혹지구경제등비적중요성。이경피서방발체국가적경험화도로소증실。재실현공업화적과정중。농촌노동력전이시세계각국도증경혹필장면대적중요과제。본문운용행위주의연구방법。이용2003—2006년전국농촌고정관찰점적수거，건립Probit모형실증분석료농민개체특정화농호가정특정대농촌비농취업적영향。연구발현：취양본개인특정이언，호주혹가정주요경영자、남성、문화정도교고、신체건강적농민종사농촌비농취업적의원경강，직업교육혹배훈대우농촌비농취업유명현적촉진작용，이시부농업호구대농촌비농취업적영향병불명현。취양본가정특정이언，가정류형회영향농민재농촌적비농취업경향，동시。향촌간부호종사비농산구적경향성경강，소수민족호화신교호종사비농산업적경향성교약，“시부국가간부직공호”、“시부당원호”대농촌비농취업적영향병불현저。중시농민적개인특정화가정특정사이，대력발전농촌비농산업。촉진농촌비농취업시아국정부해결농촌잉여노동력전이문제적중요전략선택。
Experience and history in west developed countries have showed that industrialization is necessary to economy flight. During industrialization, labor migration is the problem which has to deal with for every country. Based on the data collected from stable survey in countryside over the period from 2003 to 2006, the paper established Prohit model to analyze how farmer＇ s individual traits affect non-farm employment in rural area by using behavioristic methods. The study found： In terms of personal characteristics, the farmer who is the head of the household or engaged in the family＇ s main business, male, at higher educational level, and physically healthy will has stronger will to rural non-farm employment and vocational education or training is significant to rural non-farm employment. The effect of rural residence （hukou） is not obvious to rural non-farm employment. In terms of family characteristics, family type will affect the farmers in the rural non-farm employment. At the same time, households of the village officials are in a stronger tendency towards non-farm employment. Farmers of ethnic minority and religious households have weak will to be engaged in non-farm employment. Never the less, households of state officials and party members are not significant to rural non-farm employment. In order to solve the migration of surplus rural labor, great efforts must be made to develop and promote non-farm industry as well as non-farm employment.
