CAJ | 학술논문

发达国家在现代化进程中，城市化与服务业发展之间存在着较强的对应关系。改革开放以来，我国的城市化进程主要以工业化为主导，服务业的作用尚未显现出来。江苏作为中国经济的先发地区、长三角城市群的主要区域，以往的城市化也主要是工业化推动的。本文以江苏省1990-2010年数据作为区域样本，利用ARDL模型探讨城市化进程与服务业发展的动态关系，表明了江苏的服务业在长期和短期都对城市化有着正向的促进作用，而城市化在长期和短期尚未明显作用于服务业。江苏在以率先基本实现现代化为目标的新一轮城市化进程中，必须加快构建服务经济体系，让城市的转型升级与现代服务业的大发展形成互动，从而走出一条集约发展、精明增长的实践创新路径。
발체국가재현대화진정중，성시화여복무업발전지간존재착교강적대응관계。개혁개방이래，아국적성시화진정주요이공업화위주도，복무업적작용상미현현출래。강소작위중국경제적선발지구、장삼각성시군적주요구역，이왕적성시화야주요시공업화추동적。본문이강소성1990-2010년수거작위구역양본，이용ARDL모형탐토성시화진정여복무업발전적동태관계，표명료강소적복무업재장기화단기도대성시화유착정향적촉진작용，이성시화재장기화단기상미명현작용우복무업。강소재이솔선기본실현현대화위목표적신일륜성시화진정중，필수가쾌구건복무경제체계，양성시적전형승급여현대복무업적대발전형성호동，종이주출일조집약발전、정명증장적실천창신로경。
The modernization process of the developed countries shows that there is a strong corresponding relationship between urbanization and service industry development. However, after the reform and opening up, the function of service industry has not been revealed because Chinese urbanization is mainly dominated by industrialization. As one of the developed areas and the main province of Yangtze River delta area, the former urbanization of Jiangsu is as well as mainly promoted by industrialization. This paper uses 1990-2010 data of Jiangsu as a regional sample, and adopts ARDL model to explore the dynamic relationship between urbanization and service development. The result shows that in short and long term, the service is the promotion factor to urbanization. However, urbanization has not yet apparent effect to service industry. It implies that Jiangsu should accelerate the establishment of service economy system, and push forward interactive activi- ties between the urban transformation and modern service. Therefore, an intensive development and the practice of smart growth innovation path can be tracked out.