CAJ | 학술논문

2008年7月,台湾开放大陆13省居民赴台旅游,以期由旅游业带动台湾的低迷经济走出低谷。基于旅游乘数模型和旅游人数模型,本文以2008年前后台湾旅游业分析为背景,定量研究开放大陆居民赴台旅游对台湾经济的贡献度,及影响大陆居民赴台旅游需求的影响因素,认为开放大陆赴台旅游对台湾经济发展具有很强的拉动作用,两岸政策的开放性对赴台旅游人数影响巨大。
2008년7월,태만개방대륙13성거민부태여유,이기유여유업대동태만적저미경제주출저곡。기우여유승수모형화여유인수모형,본문이2008년전후태만여유업분석위배경,정량연구개방대륙거민부태여유대태만경제적공헌도,급영향대륙거민부태여유수구적영향인소,인위개방대륙부태여유대태만경제발전구유흔강적랍동작용,량안정책적개방성대부태여유인수영향거대。
Taiwan declared that the mainland residents would travel Taiwan on July 2008,expecting the tourism industry to strengthen the gloomy economy.Based on the analysis of Taiwan tourism before and after 2008,the paper uses tourism multiplier model and tourist arrivals model to do the quantitative study on how opening the mainland residents to Taiwan tourism contributes to the economy,and what affects the demand of this tourism.The conclusion is that the economic impact of opening the mainland residents to Taiwan tourism is huge,and cross-strait policy plays a substantial role in the demand.