统计研究
統計研究
통계연구
Statistical Research
2012年
1期
38~42
,共null页
区域经济 空间计量模型 面板模型 经济增长
區域經濟 空間計量模型 麵闆模型 經濟增長
구역경제 공간계량모형 면판모형 경제증장
Regional Economy; Spatial Econometrics; Panel Model; Economic Growth
区域经济的协调发展不仅是我国一项长期重要国策,也是社会经济研究的热点问题。本文将空间计量模型与面板分析方法相结合,以我国省域经济发展作为研究对象,对我国省域经济增长的协调发展和所受影响因素进行研究。结果显示,我国区域经济发展存在着显著的空间相关性,在经济发展的不同阶段影响经济增长的因素不同,对经济发展有持续显著正影响的因素有:人力资本、人口资本、市场化进程和财政支出等。据此本文提出若干政策建议,以促进我国经济协调增长。
區域經濟的協調髮展不僅是我國一項長期重要國策,也是社會經濟研究的熱點問題。本文將空間計量模型與麵闆分析方法相結閤,以我國省域經濟髮展作為研究對象,對我國省域經濟增長的協調髮展和所受影響因素進行研究。結果顯示,我國區域經濟髮展存在著顯著的空間相關性,在經濟髮展的不同階段影響經濟增長的因素不同,對經濟髮展有持續顯著正影響的因素有:人力資本、人口資本、市場化進程和財政支齣等。據此本文提齣若榦政策建議,以促進我國經濟協調增長。
구역경제적협조발전불부시아국일항장기중요국책,야시사회경제연구적열점문제。본문장공간계량모형여면판분석방법상결합,이아국성역경제발전작위연구대상,대아국성역경제증장적협조발전화소수영향인소진행연구。결과현시,아국구역경제발전존재착현저적공간상관성,재경제발전적불동계단영향경제증장적인소불동,대경제발전유지속현저정영향적인소유:인력자본、인구자본、시장화진정화재정지출등。거차본문제출약간정책건의,이촉진아국경제협조증장。
Because the economic development in China suffers from the problem of incoordination among different regions, the coordinated development of regional economies is not only an important long-term national policy, but also a hot issue in the research field. This paper combines the spatial eeonometric model with panel model as its analytical method, regards the provincial-level economic growth as its research target and data source, and analyzes the coordinated development of provincial-level economy and the factors that have effect on regional economic growth. The result shows there is remarkable spatial interaction between the regional economies, and the factors that have effect on economy are different in different stages of the economic growth, and some of the faetors that have constant remarkable positive effeet on the economic growth include human resource, population, the marketization process and financial spending. At last, this paper makes some effective suggestions on the basis of this study.