CAJ | 학술논문

与传统的认为因欧洲货币统一有利于降低交易成本从而增加了欧元区国家贸易量的观点不同,本文通过运用引力模型分析,发现欧元对德国进口和出口的影响是不对称的,它确实大大增加了德国的出口额,但是并没有显著增加其进口额,甚至还减少了进口额,这使得德国对欧盟贸易获益。之所以出现这种状况,是因为统一的货币安排使得德国货币实际上存在着贬值效应。欧洲货币统一对德国是有利的。
여전통적인위인구주화폐통일유리우강저교역성본종이증가료구원구국가무역량적관점불동,본문통과운용인력모형분석,발현구원대덕국진구화출구적영향시불대칭적,타학실대대증가료덕국적출구액,단시병몰유현저증가기진구액,심지환감소료진구액,저사득덕국대구맹무역획익。지소이출현저충상황,시인위통일적화폐안배사득덕국화폐실제상존재착폄치효응。구주화폐통일대덕국시유리적。
Different from the traditional points that the currency union increases the trade among the EU countries by decreasing the transaction cost and uncertainty,we find with the gravity model that the Euro did not significantly increase or decrease Germany＇s import volume when it expanded the export volume,which benefited Germany in trade.What happened above is due to the fact that the Euro had a depreciation effect on Germany＇s currency.In other words,the Euro is beneficial to Germany.