CAJ | 학술논문

随着人均收入水平的提高，服务业占国民经济比重将不断上升，但是中国服务业占GDP的比重却明显低于相同收入组国家的平均水平。本文构建了一个贸易开放与生产率进步相结合的模型来说明贸易开放对产业结构演变的作用，弥补了既有研究大多基于封闭经济框架的缺陷，并且基于此探讨了贸易开放对中国产业结构演变的影响。研究结果显示，出口贸易的增加抑制了中国经济中服务业所占比重的增加。分位数回归的分析表明，出口扩张很大程度上造成了中国的服务业占比偏低。
수착인균수입수평적제고，복무업점국민경제비중장불단상승，단시중국복무업점GDP적비중각명현저우상동수입조국가적평균수평。본문구건료일개무역개방여생산솔진보상결합적모형래설명무역개방대산업결구연변적작용，미보료기유연구대다기우봉폐경제광가적결함，병차기우차탐토료무역개방대중국산업결구연변적영향。연구결과현시，출구무역적증가억제료중국경제중복무업소점비중적증가。분위수회귀적분석표명，출구확장흔대정도상조성료중국적복무업점비편저。
As per capita income level increases, the share of service industry will continue to rise. However, China＇s services industry share that accounts for the proportion of GDP is lower than the national average level of the same income group. This paper constructs a model that combines trade openness and productivity progress to illustrate the role of trade openness on the evolution of industrial structure, and discusses its influence on evolution of industrial structure of China. The results show that growth of exporting trade suppresses the share of service industry in China＇s economy. And analysis of quantile regressions indicate that ex- pansion of exporting trade largely causes lower share of service sector in China