华北电力大学学报：社会科学版
華北電力大學學報：社會科學版
화북전력대학학보：사회과학판
Journal of North China Electric Power University(Social Sciences)
2012年
1期
5~9
,共null页
误差修正模型 能源消费 经济增长 因果关系
誤差脩正模型 能源消費 經濟增長 因果關繫
오차수정모형 능원소비 경제증장 인과관계
error correction model; energy consumption; GDP; causality
本文选取中国及各地区1979~2008的数据,运用单位根、协整和基于FMOLS、CCR和DOLS的误差修正模型重新检验了中国能源消费和GDP的关系,实证结果表明：从长期来看存在着能源消费与GDP的双向因果关系,但在短期中不存在二者因果关系,并在实证分析的结果基础提出了相应的能源政策。
本文選取中國及各地區1979~2008的數據,運用單位根、協整和基于FMOLS、CCR和DOLS的誤差脩正模型重新檢驗瞭中國能源消費和GDP的關繫,實證結果錶明：從長期來看存在著能源消費與GDP的雙嚮因果關繫,但在短期中不存在二者因果關繫,併在實證分析的結果基礎提齣瞭相應的能源政策。
본문선취중국급각지구1979~2008적수거,운용단위근、협정화기우FMOLS、CCR화DOLS적오차수정모형중신검험료중국능원소비화GDP적관계,실증결과표명：종장기래간존재착능원소비여GDP적쌍향인과관계,단재단기중불존재이자인과관계,병재실증분석적결과기출제출료상응적능원정책。
This paper applies the unit root,cointegration and error correction models based on FMOLS,CCR,DOLS respectively to re-investigate co-movement and the causal relationship between energy consumption and real GDP for China during 1979-2008 periods.The empirical results show that there is long-run bidirectional causality between energy consumption and real GDP in China,while there is no causality between energy consumption to real GDP in short-run.In addition,the authors advance corresponding energy policy in the short-run and long-run based on the empirical results.
