泉州师范学院学报
泉州師範學院學報
천주사범학원학보
Journal of Quanzhou Normal College
2012年
2期
52~57
,共null页
佘赛芬 骆培聪 张莹莹 叶爱青 王娟
佘賽芬 駱培聰 張瑩瑩 葉愛青 王娟
사새분 락배총 장형형 협애청 왕연
气候舒适度 客流量变化 相关性分析 武夷山市
氣候舒適度 客流量變化 相關性分析 武夷山市
기후서괄도 객류량변화 상관성분석 무이산시
climate comfort degree; variation of tourist amount; correlation analysis; Wuyishan city
以近30年气候统计资料为依据,采用生理气候指标温湿指数THI和风效指数K对武夷山市旅游气候舒适度进行分析评价;结合近4年客流量的年内变化,计算客流量月指数并划分了旅游活动的淡旺季;最后采用OLS方法建立客流量月指数与气候舒适度指数的相关性模拟方程.结果表明:气候舒适度对武夷山市旅游有较大影响,入境旅游月指数气候弹性系数为0.580%;国内旅游还受到众多社会经济因素(节假日等)的影响,其月指数气候弹性系数为1.246%;景区的一些促销活动对该弹性系数会产生一定影响,从而减少了气候舒适度对武夷山客流量变化的影响.
以近30年氣候統計資料為依據,採用生理氣候指標溫濕指數THI和風效指數K對武夷山市旅遊氣候舒適度進行分析評價;結閤近4年客流量的年內變化,計算客流量月指數併劃分瞭旅遊活動的淡旺季;最後採用OLS方法建立客流量月指數與氣候舒適度指數的相關性模擬方程.結果錶明:氣候舒適度對武夷山市旅遊有較大影響,入境旅遊月指數氣候彈性繫數為0.580%;國內旅遊還受到衆多社會經濟因素(節假日等)的影響,其月指數氣候彈性繫數為1.246%;景區的一些促銷活動對該彈性繫數會產生一定影響,從而減少瞭氣候舒適度對武夷山客流量變化的影響.
이근30년기후통계자료위의거,채용생리기후지표온습지수THI화풍효지수K대무이산시여유기후서괄도진행분석평개;결합근4년객류량적년내변화,계산객류량월지수병화분료여유활동적담왕계;최후채용OLS방법건립객류량월지수여기후서괄도지수적상관성모의방정.결과표명:기후서괄도대무이산시여유유교대영향,입경여유월지수기후탄성계수위0.580%;국내여유환수도음다사회경제인소(절가일등)적영향,기월지수기후탄성계수위1.246%;경구적일사촉소활동대해탄성계수회산생일정영향,종이감소료기후서괄도대무이산객류량변화적영향.
Based on climate statistical data in recent 30 years,the paper analyses and evaluates climate comfort degree in Wuyishan city with the method of THI and wind effect index(K);then the paper calculates monthly index of tourist amount and presentes tour peak season and tour off-season by using the data of annual tourist amount in four years;lastly,the paper establishes the correlation equation of monthly index of tourist amount and climate comfort degree index.The results show:climate comfort degree has much impact on Wuyishan tourism and inbound tourism monthly index coefficient is 0.580%;besides the factor of climate comfort degree,domestic tourism is affected by many factors like vacation,and its monthly index coefficient is 1.246%;mixed sales promotion in sightseeing district will affect coefficient and lead to reduce the effect which is put on Wuyishan tourist amount by climate comfort degree.