北京理工大学学报:社会科学版
北京理工大學學報:社會科學版
북경리공대학학보:사회과학판
Journal of Beijing Institute of Technology(Social Sciences Edition)
2012年
2期
84~88
,共null页
刘铁忠 周连景 李海艳 李志祥
劉鐵忠 週連景 李海豔 李誌祥
류철충 주련경 리해염 리지상
高教园区 大学生群体危机 危机干预 演化模型
高教園區 大學生群體危機 危機榦預 縯化模型
고교완구 대학생군체위궤 위궤간예 연화모형
zone of tertiary education;mass undergraduate crisis (MUC) ;crisis intervention;evolution model of intervention
针对高教园区大学生群体危机的干预问题,利用仿真模型研究危机干预的动态演化。利用北京市高教园区实证数据为模型赋初值,从"干预因子灵敏度分析、干预因子变动分析"等方面进行模型拟检验。运用模型进行应用研究,认为:一是危机干预能力增长呈现滞后性,必须提前实施危机干预;二是应保持政府与高校的危机干预强度,政府干预应着重做好基础设施建设,高校干预应着重于学习环境建设,形成共振效应,增强干预效果;三是政府与高校危机干预强度不应同时波动,以避免危机干预能力下行风险;四是政府与高校的协同干预,应着重大学生的情感因素与心理因素的治理。
針對高教園區大學生群體危機的榦預問題,利用倣真模型研究危機榦預的動態縯化。利用北京市高教園區實證數據為模型賦初值,從"榦預因子靈敏度分析、榦預因子變動分析"等方麵進行模型擬檢驗。運用模型進行應用研究,認為:一是危機榦預能力增長呈現滯後性,必鬚提前實施危機榦預;二是應保持政府與高校的危機榦預彊度,政府榦預應著重做好基礎設施建設,高校榦預應著重于學習環境建設,形成共振效應,增彊榦預效果;三是政府與高校危機榦預彊度不應同時波動,以避免危機榦預能力下行風險;四是政府與高校的協同榦預,應著重大學生的情感因素與心理因素的治理。
침대고교완구대학생군체위궤적간예문제,이용방진모형연구위궤간예적동태연화。이용북경시고교완구실증수거위모형부초치,종"간예인자령민도분석、간예인자변동분석"등방면진행모형의검험。운용모형진행응용연구,인위:일시위궤간예능력증장정현체후성,필수제전실시위궤간예;이시응보지정부여고교적위궤간예강도,정부간예응착중주호기출설시건설,고교간예응착중우학습배경건설,형성공진효응,증강간예효과;삼시정부여고교위궤간예강도불응동시파동,이피면위궤간예능력하행풍험;사시정부여고교적협동간예,응착중대학생적정감인소여심리인소적치리。
Aiming to the crisis intervention of mass undergraduate crisis (MUC) in zone of tertiary education, a simulation model is presented here. Initial value for the model is given from empirical survey from zone of tertiary education in Beijing, and then simulation model is verified from four aspects. The following conclusions are obtained: first, capability of crisis~intervention present hysteretic characteristics, so it should be done in advance; second, intensity of crisis intervention in government and university should be retained at the same time, in which intervention of government should focus on infrastructure construction, and intervention of universities should focus on learning environment construction, to strengthen the effectiveness of intervention; third, intensity of crisis intervention in government and university shouldn't be fluctuated simuhaneously to avoid rapid reduction of capability of crisis intervention; fourth, collaborative crisis intervention should be done by government and university to emphasize students' emotional factors and psychological factors.