CAJ | 학술논문

我国是葡萄酒净进口国,随着我国居民收入水平的不断提高,进口规模逐渐扩大,需要把握进口变化的动因,判断我国葡萄酒进口贸易的发展方向,从而促进我国葡萄酒贸易的健康发展。运用进口需求模型定量分析葡萄酒进口变化的主要决定因素,进而针对不同来源地产品之间的关系,用近似理想需求系统模型进行分析。结果表明,随着消费者收入的提高和进口关税的降低,我国葡萄酒进口贸易仍有很大发展空间;进口葡萄酒和国产葡萄酒存在差异化竞争,进口葡萄酒占据了我国高端市场;在我国的葡萄酒进口市场上,法国与智利和澳大利亚的产品具有异质性,智利与澳大利亚的产品表现为同质性。我国葡萄酒进口规模将逐渐扩大,国产高端产品需要一定的保护和培育。
아국시포도주정진구국,수착아국거민수입수평적불단제고,진구규모축점확대,수요파악진구변화적동인,판단아국포도주진구무역적발전방향,종이촉진아국포도주무역적건강발전。운용진구수구모형정량분석포도주진구변화적주요결정인소,진이침대불동래원지산품지간적관계,용근사이상수구계통모형진행분석。결과표명,수착소비자수입적제고화진구관세적강저,아국포도주진구무역잉유흔대발전공간;진구포도주화국산포도주존재차이화경쟁,진구포도주점거료아국고단시장;재아국적포도주진구시장상,법국여지리화오대리아적산품구유이질성,지리여오대리아적산품표현위동질성。아국포도주진구규모장축점확대,국산고단산품수요일정적보호화배육。
China is a net importer of wine,the scale of imports gradually expand with income rising.We need to grasp the changing dynamics of imports,determine the direction of China＇s wine import trade,so as to promote the healthy development of China＇s wine trade.In this paper,we build import demand model to study the main influencing factors of changes in wine imports,then use AIDS model to study the relationship between products of different origin.The results show that,as rising of consumer incomes and reduction of import tariffs,the scale of China＇s wine import has great potential.Imported and domestic wines are differentiation competitive,imported wines accounted for China＇s high-end market.In China＇s wine imports market,the products from France and Chile are heterogeneous,as to France and Australia,the products are also heterogeneous.The products from Chile and Australia are homogeneous.The scale of China’s wine imports will gradually expand,domestic high-end products require a certain degree of protection and nurturing.