CAJ | 학술논문

考虑经济增长的阶段性特征和空间效应是分析我国区域经济问题的关键。本文运用SUR模型衡量了经济增长的阶段性特点，运用修正后的G统计量和空间滞后模型分析了空间效应对区域经济增长趋同的影响，并通过分解空间结构矩阵分析了不同区域间的空间效应关系。结果表明：我国区域空间存在着显著的中心、次级和外围空间俱乐部趋同效应，各趋同俱乐部之间存在着不同水平的空间依赖关系，中心区域和次级区域之间的空间依赖性比较突出，外围区域市场区效应影响有限，次级区域和外围区域之间的空间依赖性以负作用为主。因此，应进一步提高我国区域发展中的空间效应，尤其是对于次级区域和外围区域而言，在制定区域发展战略中应予以足够重视。
고필경제증장적계단성특정화공간효응시분석아국구역경제문제적관건。본문운용SUR모형형량료경제증장적계단성특점，운용수정후적G통계량화공간체후모형분석료공간효응대구역경제증장추동적영향，병통과분해공간결구구진분석료불동구역간적공간효응관계。결과표명：아국구역공간존재착현저적중심、차급화외위공간구악부추동효응，각추동구악부지간존재착불동수평적공간의뢰관계，중심구역화차급구역지간적공간의뢰성비교돌출，외위구역시장구효응영향유한，차급구역화외위구역지간적공간의뢰성이부작용위주。인차，응진일보제고아국구역발전중적공간효응，우기시대우차급구역화외위구역이언，재제정구역발전전략중응여이족구중시。
It is the key to analyze region problem that considering characteristics of stage and spatial correlation in China. This paper uses SUR model, correction G statistic and spatial lags model to measure the stage and spatial effects between China＇ s regions, and then analyze the spatial effects among different regions by way of decomposing the spatial structure matrix. It indicates that there are significant core, sub and periphery clubs convergence, and different clubs have different spatial dependence, such as the spatial dependence between coreregions and subregions is significant, the market effects between periphery regions is limited, and the spatial dependence between subregions and periphery regions is negative. Therefore, we should further improve the spatial effects among China＇ s regions, and we should pay enough attention when drawing up regional development strategy especially on subregions and periphery regions.