中国体育科技
中國體育科技
중국체육과기
China Sport Science and Technology
2012年
3期
26~32
,共null页
奥运会 29届 运动员 结构 奖牌分布 中国
奧運會 29屆 運動員 結構 獎牌分佈 中國
오운회 29계 운동원 결구 장패분포 중국
Olympic Games; 29th; athlete; structure; medal distribution; China
主要运用数理统计、文献资料调研等研究方法,对2008年在北京举办的第29届奥运会中国体育代表团运动员的组成结构以及分省(市)、项目、性别等交叉分析及获得的金牌和奖牌数量进行统计。研究认为,参加第29届奥运会的中国体育代表团是一支年轻、富有朝气的队伍,运动员学历层次普遍较高,运动员形态普遍高大、壮实;经济发展对奥运奖牌数呈现正相关,以省(市)GDP总量为自变量,把奖牌数(人次)作为应变量,得出每增加1 000亿元的GDP,奥运会奖牌数量(以人次计算)增加0.487块;"阴盛阳衰"现象单纯从取得奖牌或者金牌以项目为单位统计表现得有所改善,但以获得奖牌数量以运动员人数统计,这个现象还依然很严重;获得金牌和奖牌的项目主要集中在以技能主导类为主的我国传统优势项目上,而在田径、游泳和三大球等集体项目上竞技水平依然很低。
主要運用數理統計、文獻資料調研等研究方法,對2008年在北京舉辦的第29屆奧運會中國體育代錶糰運動員的組成結構以及分省(市)、項目、性彆等交扠分析及穫得的金牌和獎牌數量進行統計。研究認為,參加第29屆奧運會的中國體育代錶糰是一支年輕、富有朝氣的隊伍,運動員學歷層次普遍較高,運動員形態普遍高大、壯實;經濟髮展對奧運獎牌數呈現正相關,以省(市)GDP總量為自變量,把獎牌數(人次)作為應變量,得齣每增加1 000億元的GDP,奧運會獎牌數量(以人次計算)增加0.487塊;"陰盛暘衰"現象單純從取得獎牌或者金牌以項目為單位統計錶現得有所改善,但以穫得獎牌數量以運動員人數統計,這箇現象還依然很嚴重;穫得金牌和獎牌的項目主要集中在以技能主導類為主的我國傳統優勢項目上,而在田徑、遊泳和三大毬等集體項目上競技水平依然很低。
주요운용수리통계、문헌자료조연등연구방법,대2008년재북경거판적제29계오운회중국체육대표단운동원적조성결구이급분성(시)、항목、성별등교차분석급획득적금패화장패수량진행통계。연구인위,삼가제29계오운회적중국체육대표단시일지년경、부유조기적대오,운동원학력층차보편교고,운동원형태보편고대、장실;경제발전대오운장패수정현정상관,이성(시)GDP총량위자변량,파장패수(인차)작위응변량,득출매증가1 000억원적GDP,오운회장패수량(이인차계산)증가0.487괴;"음성양쇠"현상단순종취득장패혹자금패이항목위단위통계표현득유소개선,단이획득장패수량이운동원인수통계,저개현상환의연흔엄중;획득금패화장패적항목주요집중재이기능주도류위주적아국전통우세항목상,이재전경、유영화삼대구등집체항목상경기수평의연흔저。
The methods of mathematical statistics and literature review have been adopted to analyze composition structure and medal and gold medal distribution of Chinese sports delegation and in Beijing 2008 Summer Olympic Games and on the composition of athletes,as well as provinces and municipalities,project analysis,gender and so on.The result shows that the Chinese sports delegation is a young and vibrant team,athletes generally have higher academic background,and their physique is tall and strong.Economic development is positively related to Olympic medal count.If taking the provincial and municipal GDP as an independent variable,and the number of medals(person-time) as the dependent variable,it can be drawn that an additional of $ 100 billion in GDP will lead to an increase of the number of medals(person-time) of 0.487.The phenomenon of women being always more than men in obtaining medals is considerably improved purely on basis of sports items,but it is still a tough problem while based on the number of athletes who obtained medals of Chinese sports delegation's advantage project mainly focus on Chinese traditional skill-oriented projects.However,competition level remains low on team sports such as track and field,swimming,football,basketball and volleyball.