CAJ | 학술논문

对Boarnet公式的经济权重进行修正，以经济增长变化对区域增长的贡献率代替绝对量值的变化，作为区域内经济空间增长的联系强度，并将其作为偏离-份额分析空间模型的空间权重。根据偏离-份额分析空间模型计算三次产业在2002--2005年和2006--2009年2个时段的要素量值变化，用ArcGIS9．3分析产业结构、产业竞争力的空间变化特征。结构上看，京津冀地区第一产业结构偏强，第二、三产业处于偏弱的态势；竞争力上看，京津冀地区第二产业竞争力呈现整体水平提升，第一、三产业竞争力呈现出多样化的态势。今后应继续保持对第一产业的结构调整力度，快速实现二、三产业结构效率的提升。加大投资和科技投入，保持第二产业竞争实力，逐步实现第一、三产业竞争力的整体提升。
대Boarnet공식적경제권중진행수정，이경제증장변화대구역증장적공헌솔대체절대량치적변화，작위구역내경제공간증장적련계강도，병장기작위편리-빈액분석공간모형적공간권중。근거편리-빈액분석공간모형계산삼차산업재2002--2005년화2006--2009년2개시단적요소량치변화，용ArcGIS9．3분석산업결구、산업경쟁력적공간변화특정。결구상간，경진기지구제일산업결구편강，제이、삼산업처우편약적태세；경쟁력상간，경진기지구제이산업경쟁력정현정체수평제승，제일、삼산업경쟁력정현출다양화적태세。금후응계속보지대제일산업적결구조정력도，쾌속실현이、삼산업결구효솔적제승。가대투자화과기투입，보지제이산업경쟁실력，축보실현제일、삼산업경쟁력적정체제승。
Revising the Boarnet formula＇ s economical weights to be the spatial weights of the spatial shiftshare analysis model, according to the industry＇ s changes of essential factor size in the periods of 2002--2005 and 2006--2009, the spatial variation characteristic of the industrial structure and competitiveness was manifested directly in the geometric figure by the ArcGIS9.3 spatial analysis tool. The research indicates that the primary industry structure is strong, while the secondary and the tertiary industry are in the weak situation from the angle of structure in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region. The secondary industrial competitiveness presents the whole level promotion, the primary and the tertiary industrial competitive power present the diversification from the angle of competitiveness in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region. In the future we should continue maintaining the primary industry structural adjustment dynamics, realize the secondary and the tertiary industrial structure efficiency promotion quickly, increase the investment and the input of science and technology, maintain the secondary industrial competition strength, and promote the first and the tertiary industrial competitive power gradually.