系统工程理论与实践
繫統工程理論與實踐
계통공정이론여실천
Systems Engineering—Theory & Practice
2012年
5期
971~976
,共null页
赵奕奕 寇纲 彭怡 李仕明
趙奕奕 寇綱 彭怡 李仕明
조혁혁 구강 팽이 리사명
突发事件 舆论传播 非一致信任水平 基于agent的建模
突髮事件 輿論傳播 非一緻信任水平 基于agent的建模
돌발사건 여론전파 비일치신임수평 기우agent적건모
emergences; opinion dynamics; heterogeneous confidence level; agent-based modeling
群体性突发事件是影响社会稳定的重要因素,正确认识和理解舆论传播的演化机制,可以建立快速、高效的应急体系和措施,从而保证群体性突发事件的客观舆论导向.针对群体中个体属性的多样性,在Krause有界信任模型基础上提出了非一致有界信任模型,进行了一系列计算机仿真实验.结果表明:当社会网络中个体的信任水平各不相同时,要使社会网络的群体观点达到一致,远比相同信任水平时要难;而且,社会网络中个体的数量与舆论传播的最终观点簇之间存在正相关关系.
群體性突髮事件是影響社會穩定的重要因素,正確認識和理解輿論傳播的縯化機製,可以建立快速、高效的應急體繫和措施,從而保證群體性突髮事件的客觀輿論導嚮.針對群體中箇體屬性的多樣性,在Krause有界信任模型基礎上提齣瞭非一緻有界信任模型,進行瞭一繫列計算機倣真實驗.結果錶明:噹社會網絡中箇體的信任水平各不相同時,要使社會網絡的群體觀點達到一緻,遠比相同信任水平時要難;而且,社會網絡中箇體的數量與輿論傳播的最終觀點簇之間存在正相關關繫.
군체성돌발사건시영향사회은정적중요인소,정학인식화리해여론전파적연화궤제,가이건립쾌속、고효적응급체계화조시,종이보증군체성돌발사건적객관여론도향.침대군체중개체속성적다양성,재Krause유계신임모형기출상제출료비일치유계신임모형,진행료일계렬계산궤방진실험.결과표명:당사회망락중개체적신임수평각불상동시,요사사회망락적군체관점체도일치,원비상동신임수평시요난;이차,사회망락중개체적수량여여론전파적최종관점족지간존재정상관관계.
Emergency is one of key factors affecting social stability.It is very important to investigate and understand the evolutionary mechanism of opinion dynamics.Thus,an objective opinion guidance can be ensured by building a fast and highly efficient emergency response system.In this paper,a new bounded confidence model with heterogeneous confidence levels is established under the framework of Krause model to deal with the diversities of human attributes.Some computer simulations are given to demonstrate that it is more difficult to reach consensus for the collective opinions with heterogeneous confidence levels than that with homogeneous confidence levels.Furthermore,the simulation results show that there is a positive correlation relationship between the total number of agents and the number of final opinion clusters.