CAJ | 학술논문

随着中国经济全球化进程的深化，外贸对国内经济的影响日益显著。根据平滑调整假说（SAH），劳动力市场调整成本会随着产业内贸易水平的提高而降低。基于中国制造业22个细分行业面板数据进行检验，本文发现间隔3年的边际内产业指数最为有效，且产业内贸易水平对劳动力市场调整具有滞后效应，但回归分析结果并不支持SAH。随着产业内贸易比例扩大，劳动力的产业间调整增加，而并非产业内的调整。此外，劳动生产率和国内显性需求对劳动力市场调整有很大影响，在产业内贸易水平较高的行业内，劳动生产率的这种影响更加显著，而显性需求和产业内贸易水平影响作用较弱。
수착중국경제전구화진정적심화，외무대국내경제적영향일익현저。근거평활조정가설（SAH），노동력시장조정성본회수착산업내무역수평적제고이강저。기우중국제조업22개세분행업면판수거진행검험，본문발현간격3년적변제내산업지수최위유효，차산업내무역수평대노동력시장조정구유체후효응，단회귀분석결과병불지지SAH。수착산업내무역비례확대，노동력적산업간조정증가，이병비산업내적조정。차외，노동생산솔화국내현성수구대노동력시장조정유흔대영향，재산업내무역수평교고적행업내，노동생산솔적저충영향경가현저，이현성수구화산업내무역수평영향작용교약。
With accelerating economic globalization in China, foreign trade is forming increasing impact on domestic economy. Based on the smooth adjustment hypothesis （SAH） , the labor market adjust cost would drop along with the development of the intra-industry trade. Based on the Chinese 22 manufacturing sub-sectors panel data, the test finds that the MIIT is the most valid at three year intervals. The IIT has a hysteresis effect on the labor market adjustment, but the regression analysis result does not support SAH. With the liT expansions the workforce moves more among inter-industry rather than intra-industry. Labor productivity and dominant consumption have remarkable effect on the labor mar- ket adjustment. The influence of labor productivity is more remarkable in the high MIIT industry than dominant consumption and liT.