北京师范大学学报:社会科学版
北京師範大學學報:社會科學版
북경사범대학학보:사회과학판
Journal of Beijing Normal University(Social Science Edition)
2012年
3期
96~104
,共null页
关债问题 欧债危机 量化宽松政策 主权债务危机 信用评级
關債問題 歐債危機 量化寬鬆政策 主權債務危機 信用評級
관채문제 구채위궤 양화관송정책 주권채무위궤 신용평급
American debt problem;European debt crisis;quantitative easing policy; sovereign debt crisis;credit rating
2011年以来,新一轮全球债务危机的爆发和关债主权信用评级的下调,预示着主权债务问题已在全球迅速蔓延。在此背景下,有必要厘清美国债务问题的演化路径,探讨其对美国国内金融业和实体经济的冲击,以及对全球经济复苏和国际金融市场的影响。进一步,通过梳理美债问题的演进路径和内外影响,可以发现,尽管美债问题与欧债危机二者交替出现、相互影响,但在形成原因、救助措施和国际风险等方面却不尽相同。作为美国国债的最大海外持有者,中国应主动制定相关避险措施,积极反思中国的外汇战略,合理规划外汇结构,稳步推进人民币国际化,并要足够重视地方债务问题,以降低美债问题对中国的冲击。
2011年以來,新一輪全毬債務危機的爆髮和關債主權信用評級的下調,預示著主權債務問題已在全毬迅速蔓延。在此揹景下,有必要釐清美國債務問題的縯化路徑,探討其對美國國內金融業和實體經濟的遲擊,以及對全毬經濟複囌和國際金融市場的影響。進一步,通過梳理美債問題的縯進路徑和內外影響,可以髮現,儘管美債問題與歐債危機二者交替齣現、相互影響,但在形成原因、救助措施和國際風險等方麵卻不儘相同。作為美國國債的最大海外持有者,中國應主動製定相關避險措施,積極反思中國的外彙戰略,閤理規劃外彙結構,穩步推進人民幣國際化,併要足夠重視地方債務問題,以降低美債問題對中國的遲擊。
2011년이래,신일륜전구채무위궤적폭발화관채주권신용평급적하조,예시착주권채무문제이재전구신속만연。재차배경하,유필요전청미국채무문제적연화로경,탐토기대미국국내금융업화실체경제적충격,이급대전구경제복소화국제금융시장적영향。진일보,통과소리미채문제적연진로경화내외영향,가이발현,진관미채문제여구채위궤이자교체출현、상호영향,단재형성원인、구조조시화국제풍험등방면각불진상동。작위미국국채적최대해외지유자,중국응주동제정상관피험조시,적겁반사중국적외회전략,합리규화외회결구,은보추진인민폐국제화,병요족구중시지방채무문제,이강저미채문제대중국적충격。
Since 2011, the breakout of a new tide of debt crisis and the degrading of the American sovereign credit rating suggests that sovereign credit problem has become a global phenomenon. Under that background, it is necessary to figure out the formation path of the American debt problem, probe into its impact on the American financial and industrial economy, and its influence on the global economy recovery and international financial market. It reveals that, even though the American debt problem appears alternatively with the European debt crisis, and they have mutual influences upon each other, their formation reasons, salvage measurements, and international risk are not entirely the same. As the largest overseas debtor of the American national debt, China should actively lay down relevant countermeasures for evasion, reflect on the foreign exchange strategies, reasonably plan foreign exchange structures, steadily advance the internationalization of Renminbi, and pay enough attention to local debts, so as to reduce the impact of American debts upon Chinese economy.