金融研究
金融研究
금융연구
Journal of Financial Research
2012年
6期
1~12
,共null页
房价 通货膨胀 货币政策
房價 通貨膨脹 貨幣政策
방개 통화팽창 화폐정책
Housing Price, Inflation, Monetary Policy
我国处于经济转型时期,房价、通胀和货币政策都具有不同于其他国家的特点。我国的房价除了取决于供求的力量之外,还受人口结构、财税制度和土地供应制度等因素影响。本文利用我国2005~2011年的数据,通过实证分析发现:(1)我国的流动性对房价和通胀影响显著;(2)我国负利率推升了房价的上涨;(3)货币政策的价格型工具对抑制房价有作用,而且加息对房价的抑制作用超过控制货币供应。
我國處于經濟轉型時期,房價、通脹和貨幣政策都具有不同于其他國傢的特點。我國的房價除瞭取決于供求的力量之外,還受人口結構、財稅製度和土地供應製度等因素影響。本文利用我國2005~2011年的數據,通過實證分析髮現:(1)我國的流動性對房價和通脹影響顯著;(2)我國負利率推升瞭房價的上漲;(3)貨幣政策的價格型工具對抑製房價有作用,而且加息對房價的抑製作用超過控製貨幣供應。
아국처우경제전형시기,방개、통창화화폐정책도구유불동우기타국가적특점。아국적방개제료취결우공구적역량지외,환수인구결구、재세제도화토지공응제도등인소영향。본문이용아국2005~2011년적수거,통과실증분석발현:(1)아국적류동성대방개화통창영향현저;(2)아국부리솔추승료방개적상창;(3)화폐정책적개격형공구대억제방개유작용,이차가식대방개적억제작용초과공제화폐공응。
China is in a period of transition, during which the real estate price, inflation and monetary policy all carry different features from other countries. Specifically, the real estate prices are determined by not only the demand and supply, but also factors including population structure, fiscal and taxation policy and land supply rules. Data from 2005 to 2011 showed that: (i) liquidity has notable impacts on real estate price and inflation; (ii) negative real interest rate has pushed up real estate price; and (iii) the pricing tools of monetary policy can contain real estate price, and most importantly, the impacts of interest rate increase on real estate price ex- ceeded the impacts of money supply increase.