人口学刊
人口學刊
인구학간
Population Journal
2012年
4期
46~50
,共null页
人口控制政策 发展中国家 低水平均衡陷阱
人口控製政策 髮展中國傢 低水平均衡陷阱
인구공제정책 발전중국가 저수평균형함정
population control policy, developing countries, low -level equilibrium trap
当今世界主题是和平与发展,因此经济发展成为多数国家政府政策的中心。目前多数发展中国家实施了人口控制政策,这有利于减缓世界人口剧增的趋势。但是这是否有利于发展中国家的经济发展呢?文章结合一定前提,通过定性探讨纳尔逊低水平均衡理论在人口非自然增长情况下的具体体现,得出了结论:发展中国家实施人口控制政策能够降低突破低水平均衡陷阱的机会成本,有助于加快走出低水平均衡陷阱困境的状态;长期实施过紧的人口控制政策不利于国家经济的可持续发展;人口控制政策的松绑是一个渐进式过程。
噹今世界主題是和平與髮展,因此經濟髮展成為多數國傢政府政策的中心。目前多數髮展中國傢實施瞭人口控製政策,這有利于減緩世界人口劇增的趨勢。但是這是否有利于髮展中國傢的經濟髮展呢?文章結閤一定前提,通過定性探討納爾遜低水平均衡理論在人口非自然增長情況下的具體體現,得齣瞭結論:髮展中國傢實施人口控製政策能夠降低突破低水平均衡陷阱的機會成本,有助于加快走齣低水平均衡陷阱睏境的狀態;長期實施過緊的人口控製政策不利于國傢經濟的可持續髮展;人口控製政策的鬆綁是一箇漸進式過程。
당금세계주제시화평여발전,인차경제발전성위다수국가정부정책적중심。목전다수발전중국가실시료인구공제정책,저유리우감완세계인구극증적추세。단시저시부유리우발전중국가적경제발전니?문장결합일정전제,통과정성탐토납이손저수평균형이론재인구비자연증장정황하적구체체현,득출료결론:발전중국가실시인구공제정책능구강저돌파저수평균형함정적궤회성본,유조우가쾌주출저수평균형함정곤경적상태;장기실시과긴적인구공제정책불리우국가경제적가지속발전;인구공제정책적송방시일개점진식과정。
The theme of today's world is peace and development, so developing economy has become the gist of government policies in most countries. At present, most developing countries are implementing the population control policy, which is conducive to slowing the dramatically growing trend of world population. But is it also conducive to developing countries" economic development.9 This paper discusses Nelson low - level equilibrium on a certain premise through qualitative research, and comes to the conclusions of some theoretical significance: the implementation of population control policies in developing countries can reduce the opportunity cost of the breakthrough in the low - level equilibrium trap and accelerate the process of getting out of the plight of low - level equilibrium trap; long - term implementation of tight national population control policy is harmful to sustainable economic development; the deregulation of population control policies should be a gradual process.