中国人口资源与环境
中國人口資源與環境
중국인구자원여배경
China Polulation.Resources and Environment
2012年
7期
28~33
,共null页
EKC 清洁技术 碳排放 畜禽养殖业
EKC 清潔技術 碳排放 畜禽養殖業
EKC 청길기술 탄배방 축금양식업
environmental Kuznets curve;clean technology;carbon emission;poultry feeding industry
根据2003—2009年省际面板数据，文章测算了中国畜禽养殖业的碳排放总量，并建立了收入水平与碳排放强度关系的非线性计量模型。利用分地区数据进行了EKC检验。笔者认为。清洁技术是影响碳排放的最主要因素，基于此，本文将碳排放强度进行技术分解，在引入其他控制变量的条件下，重点研究了清洁技术的EKC特征。结论显示：两次EKC检验的结果方向一致，东部地区存在显著的“倒U型”关系，中、西部地区则存在显著的“正U型”关系，这与区域经济增长水平和清洁技术的采纳密切相关；东、中、西部地区清洁技术下的碳排放拐点分别为7942．63元、275t。77元和2670．44元，中部地区拐点收入水平基本不变，东、西部地区拐点收入水平有所提高；除了收入水平外。东部地区的碳排放特征主要受农业产值占比、城镇化率和饲料成本的影响；中部地区主要受恩格尔系数的影响；西部地区则主要受农业产值占比、公路密度和土地成本的影响。本文认为，国家应该增加清洁技术补贴，提供技术服务，加强政府规制以及技术创新。
根據2003—2009年省際麵闆數據，文章測算瞭中國畜禽養殖業的碳排放總量，併建立瞭收入水平與碳排放彊度關繫的非線性計量模型。利用分地區數據進行瞭EKC檢驗。筆者認為。清潔技術是影響碳排放的最主要因素，基于此，本文將碳排放彊度進行技術分解，在引入其他控製變量的條件下，重點研究瞭清潔技術的EKC特徵。結論顯示：兩次EKC檢驗的結果方嚮一緻，東部地區存在顯著的“倒U型”關繫，中、西部地區則存在顯著的“正U型”關繫，這與區域經濟增長水平和清潔技術的採納密切相關；東、中、西部地區清潔技術下的碳排放枴點分彆為7942．63元、275t。77元和2670．44元，中部地區枴點收入水平基本不變，東、西部地區枴點收入水平有所提高；除瞭收入水平外。東部地區的碳排放特徵主要受農業產值佔比、城鎮化率和飼料成本的影響；中部地區主要受恩格爾繫數的影響；西部地區則主要受農業產值佔比、公路密度和土地成本的影響。本文認為，國傢應該增加清潔技術補貼，提供技術服務，加彊政府規製以及技術創新。
근거2003—2009년성제면판수거，문장측산료중국축금양식업적탄배방총량，병건립료수입수평여탄배방강도관계적비선성계량모형。이용분지구수거진행료EKC검험。필자인위。청길기술시영향탄배방적최주요인소，기우차，본문장탄배방강도진행기술분해，재인입기타공제변량적조건하，중점연구료청길기술적EKC특정。결론현시：량차EKC검험적결과방향일치，동부지구존재현저적“도U형”관계，중、서부지구칙존재현저적“정U형”관계，저여구역경제증장수평화청길기술적채납밀절상관；동、중、서부지구청길기술하적탄배방괴점분별위7942．63원、275t。77원화2670．44원，중부지구괴점수입수평기본불변，동、서부지구괴점수입수평유소제고；제료수입수평외。동부지구적탄배방특정주요수농업산치점비、성진화솔화사료성본적영향；중부지구주요수은격이계수적영향；서부지구칙주요수농업산치점비、공로밀도화토지성본적영향。본문인위，국가응해증가청길기술보첩，제공기술복무，가강정부규제이급기술창신。
According to provincial panel data from 2003 to 2009, total carbon emissions from poultry feeding industry are estimated, nonlinear econometric model about the relationship between income level and total carbon emissions is constructed, and partitioned data set is used to make EKC test. In our opinion, clean technology plays a significant role in carbon emission reduction. Based on this theory, the analysis of carbon emission uses decomposing technology. Considering other control quantities, the paper emphases the EKC feature of clean technology. The conclusion shows that the directions of the two EKC test results are consistent. There is an inverted U relationship in the data of the eastern area. The inflexion of carbon emission curve according to clean technology in the eastern, central, western areas is 7 942.63 yuan, 2 751.77 yuan and 2 670.44 yuan respectively. The inflexion of income level curve in the central area stays the same, and that in eastern and western areas is up. Apart from income level, the carbon emission feature of the eastern area is influenced by the cost proportion of agriculture production value, urbanization rate and feed cost. The carbon emission feature of the central area is influenced by Engelian coefficient, and that of the western area is influenced by the proportion of agriculture production value, density of highways and land cost. The paper holds that, the country should increase the amount of subsidy to develop clean technology, provide technical service and reinforce government regulation and technological innovation.
