CAJ | 학술논문

农业基础设施是传统农业向现代农业转变的重要物质基础。近年来关于农业基础设施建设与农业经济发展内在关系已经有了较多的研究,但大多是局限于农业基础设施及机构对于农业经济发展贡献度的定性和定量分析,而关于两者之间内在的变化机理关系研究不是很多。采用1980-2009年的样本数据,通过对数据更为合理的处理,运用协整理论分析农业基础设施建设与农业GDP之间的之间的关系,结论显示农业基础设施建设对农业GDP短期的因果关系不明显,但存在长期的因果关系,因此农业基础设施建设必须具有一定的超前性,才能满足农业生产的不断发展。
농업기출설시시전통농업향현대농업전변적중요물질기출。근년래관우농업기출설시건설여농업경제발전내재관계이경유료교다적연구,단대다시국한우농업기출설시급궤구대우농업경제발전공헌도적정성화정량분석,이관우량자지간내재적변화궤리관계연구불시흔다。채용1980-2009년적양본수거,통과대수거경위합리적처리,운용협정이론분석농업기출설시건설여농업GDP지간적지간적관계,결론현시농업기출설시건설대농업GDP단기적인과관계불명현,단존재장기적인과관계,인차농업기출설시건설필수구유일정적초전성,재능만족농업생산적불단발전。
Agricultural infrastructure is a physical foundation for the transform from traditional agriculture to modern one. Many researches have been carried on the inner relation between agricultural infrastructure and agricultural economy,but mostly focus on qualitive and quantitative analysis of agricultural infrastructure contribution to agricultural economy, while the change mechanism between them are scarcely studied. Based on sample data from 1980--2009 and reasonable treatment,the relation between agricultural infrastructure and agricultural econo- my is studied with co-integration theory. The results show that in the short time agricultural infrastructure is not a cause for agricultural economy, but in the long run it works. Thus, the construction of agricultural infrastructure must be precedently carried out in order to impel the development of agricultural economy.