CAJ | 학술논문

流通产业具有高能耗的特征，如何实现低碳流通也就成为值得思考的问题。本文使用IPCC2006的测算方法对中国流通产业1996—2009年间的碳排放量进行了测算，并基于脱钩理论对流通产业及其细分行业的低碳问题进行了分析。结果表明，中国流通产业具有低碳发展的可能，而且产业整体及各细分行业在考察期内的碳脱钩状态具有明显阶段性，基本呈现“脱钩——负脱钩——脱钩”的变化特征。能源依赖性的变化在交通物流业碳脱钩状态变化过程中发挥了重要作用，而能源消费结构在产业整体和交通物流业碳脱钩状态变化过程中的作用并不明显。电能消费带来的引致碳排放对流通产业整体和交通物流业碳脱钩状态的影响并不明显，但却是影响批零餐住业碳脱钩状态的重要因素。最后，本文就降低流通产业碳排放量提出了相应的政策建议。
류통산업구유고능모적특정，여하실현저탄류통야취성위치득사고적문제。본문사용IPCC2006적측산방법대중국류통산업1996—2009년간적탄배방량진행료측산，병기우탈구이론대류통산업급기세분행업적저탄문제진행료분석。결과표명，중국류통산업구유저탄발전적가능，이차산업정체급각세분행업재고찰기내적탄탈구상태구유명현계단성，기본정현“탈구——부탈구——탈구”적변화특정。능원의뢰성적변화재교통물류업탄탈구상태변화과정중발휘료중요작용，이능원소비결구재산업정체화교통물류업탄탈구상태변화과정중적작용병불명현。전능소비대래적인치탄배방대류통산업정체화교통물류업탄탈구상태적영향병불명현，단각시영향비령찬주업탄탈구상태적중요인소。최후，본문취강저류통산업탄배방량제출료상응적정책건의。
Using the methods of IPCC2006, this paper calculates the carbon emission of Chinese circulation industry during the period of 1996- 2009, and analyses the low-carbon issue of circulation industry and its subdivisions based on decoupling theory. The results indicate that Chinese circulation industry has the possibility of becoming low-carbon. During the period, the carbon-decoupling status of the whole industry and its subdivisions shows phasic variation, which presents the process of ＂decoupling-negative decoupling-decoupling＇. The dependence of energy plays an important role in the variation of carbon-decoupling status of the subdivision of Transportation and Logistics, whereas the energy consumption structure of the whole industry and the subdivision of Transportation and Logistic do not have significant effect on their carbon- decoupling status. The carbon emission derived from consumption of electricity is a critical factor to the carbon-decoupling status of the subdivision of Wholesales, Retailing, Dining and Lodging, but shows insignificant in the case of the whole industry and the subdivision of Transportation and Logistic. Corresponding suggestions are given at the end of the paper in the aspects of lowering the carbon emission of circulation industry.