经济理论与经济管理
經濟理論與經濟管理
경제이론여경제관리
Economic Theory and Business Management
2012年
7期
28~37
,共null页
经济学 反思 经济理论 经济政策 研究方法
經濟學 反思 經濟理論 經濟政策 研究方法
경제학 반사 경제이론 경제정책 연구방법
economics;reflection;economic theory;economic policy;methodology
自2008年全球金融危机爆发以来,经济学界有关经济学的反思一直不断。理论方面,宏观经济理论和模型以及＂有效市场假说＂的有效性成为争论的焦点;政策领域,关于财政政策的有效性和通胀目标的设定出现了重大分歧;研究方法上,围绕着数学与经济学之间的关系以及经济学模型化方法纷争不断。然而,反思中也呈现出共识因素,从而揭示了经济学未来可能的发展方向。理论上,金融因素及更为现实的市场缺陷和摩擦因素将更多地被纳入经济学理论和模型中进行讨论,并且处理这些因素的模型也将更趋多元化;政策上,亟须发展出一套理论框架为财政政策和更为广泛的货币政策提供理论依据,货币政策将回归到数量工具、价格工具和其他工具并用的传统;方法上,超越数学的更为广泛意义上的多样化技术工具将积极发挥作用,模型会向更具现实性因而也更为复杂化的方向发展。除了危机的外部冲击外,经济学的这种路径转向可能还需要该学科内部制度性激励结构的相应变革。
自2008年全毬金融危機爆髮以來,經濟學界有關經濟學的反思一直不斷。理論方麵,宏觀經濟理論和模型以及＂有效市場假說＂的有效性成為爭論的焦點;政策領域,關于財政政策的有效性和通脹目標的設定齣現瞭重大分歧;研究方法上,圍繞著數學與經濟學之間的關繫以及經濟學模型化方法紛爭不斷。然而,反思中也呈現齣共識因素,從而揭示瞭經濟學未來可能的髮展方嚮。理論上,金融因素及更為現實的市場缺陷和摩抆因素將更多地被納入經濟學理論和模型中進行討論,併且處理這些因素的模型也將更趨多元化;政策上,亟鬚髮展齣一套理論框架為財政政策和更為廣汎的貨幣政策提供理論依據,貨幣政策將迴歸到數量工具、價格工具和其他工具併用的傳統;方法上,超越數學的更為廣汎意義上的多樣化技術工具將積極髮揮作用,模型會嚮更具現實性因而也更為複雜化的方嚮髮展。除瞭危機的外部遲擊外,經濟學的這種路徑轉嚮可能還需要該學科內部製度性激勵結構的相應變革。
자2008년전구금융위궤폭발이래,경제학계유관경제학적반사일직불단。이론방면,굉관경제이론화모형이급＂유효시장가설＂적유효성성위쟁론적초점;정책영역,관우재정정책적유효성화통창목표적설정출현료중대분기;연구방법상,위요착수학여경제학지간적관계이급경제학모형화방법분쟁불단。연이,반사중야정현출공식인소,종이게시료경제학미래가능적발전방향。이론상,금융인소급경위현실적시장결함화마찰인소장경다지피납입경제학이론화모형중진행토론,병차처리저사인소적모형야장경추다원화;정책상,극수발전출일투이론광가위재정정책화경위엄범적화폐정책제공이론의거,화폐정책장회귀도수량공구、개격공구화기타공구병용적전통;방법상,초월수학적경위엄범의의상적다양화기술공구장적겁발휘작용,모형회향경구현실성인이야경위복잡화적방향발전。제료위궤적외부충격외,경제학적저충로경전향가능환수요해학과내부제도성격려결구적상응변혁。
Since the outbreak of global financial crisis in 2008,the economic circles had been reflecting on economics continuously.The validity of macroeconomic theories and models as well as＂the efficient market hypothesis＂had become the focus of the debate.There was a significant divergence of the validity of fiscal policy and the setting of inflation target on economic policy.There had been continuous disputes on the relation between mathematics and economics as well as the method of economic modeling in methodology.However,the future development direction of economics had been showed in the reflection.Theoretically some financial and more realistic factors should be included in economic theories and models,and the models of dealing with these factors are to be gradually diversified.A set of theoretical framework should be urgently developed to provide a basis for fiscal policy and a wider range of monetary policy.Monetary policy would return to the tradition of diversified tools.Respecting method,diversified technical tools in a more extensive sense beyond mathematics would play apositive role and models should become more realistic and complex.Besides the external impact of crisis,the redirection of economics would possibly need corresponding transformation of internal institutional incentive structure in the subject.
