CAJ | 학술논문

结合经济计量分析特点，运用数据包络分析的投入产出思想，结合协调发展理论提出了基于EDA模型的经济数据的分析方法。据此对河北省2000—2010年交通运输与经济统计数据进行了实证分析，从而对河北省综合交通系统的协调性进行分析。结果表明河北省铁路运输效率逐年提高，规模收益都是递增的；公路运输效率达到最佳，规模收益稳定；水路运输系统的投入结构不合理，效率偏低。通过这些分析，对河北省综合交通运输方式的发展做出评价，为有效解决综合交通与经济协调发展提供理论依据和决策参考。
결합경제계량분석특점，운용수거포락분석적투입산출사상，결합협조발전이론제출료기우EDA모형적경제수거적분석방법。거차대하북성2000—2010년교통운수여경제통계수거진행료실증분석，종이대하북성종합교통계통적협조성진행분석。결과표명하북성철로운수효솔축년제고，규모수익도시체증적；공로운수효솔체도최가，규모수익은정；수로운수계통적투입결구불합리，효솔편저。통과저사분석，대하북성종합교통운수방식적발전주출평개，위유효해결종합교통여경제협조발전제공이론의거화결책삼고。
Combining with the characteristics of the econometric analysis, this paper puts forwards the economic data analysis method based on the Data Envelopment Analysis with multi-input and output. Hence, according to the empirical analysis on the economic statistical data of Hebei prov- ince in 2000--2010, this paper presents the coordination of the comprehensive transportation system. The results show that Hebei railway trans- port efficiency increase year by year, returns to scale are increasing; highway transportation efficiency to achieve best, stable returns to scale; in- vestment structure of waterway transportation system is irrational. The results provides theory basis for effectively solve the traffic and economy coordinate development and decision-making reference.