CAJ | 학술논문

应用异速生长方程并结合城市人口密度分析方法，对1990年以来山东省城市人口和城市建成区面积的异速生长关系进行了研究。结果表明，1990-2005年间，标度指数b值总体趋向减小，说明山东省大城市相对于中小城市土地利用集约程度不断提高；2006-2010年间，b值总体趋向增大，说明大中小城市的土地利用集约程度趋同。同时，在标度指数b值固定的情况下，比例系数a不断增大，表明1990年以来山东省城市用地的扩张快于城市人口的增长，并且城市用地扩张呈加速的趋势。此外，指出异速生长分析结果与城市人口密度、集中指数和不平衡指数分析结果基本一致，并在此基础上提出了关于山东省城市发展的政策建议。
응용이속생장방정병결합성시인구밀도분석방법，대1990년이래산동성성시인구화성시건성구면적적이속생장관계진행료연구。결과표명，1990-2005년간，표도지수b치총체추향감소，설명산동성대성시상대우중소성시토지이용집약정도불단제고；2006-2010년간，b치총체추향증대，설명대중소성시적토지이용집약정도추동。동시，재표도지수b치고정적정황하，비례계수a불단증대，표명1990년이래산동성성시용지적확장쾌우성시인구적증장，병차성시용지확장정가속적추세。차외，지출이속생장분석결과여성시인구밀도、집중지수화불평형지수분석결과기본일치，병재차기출상제출료관우산동성성시발전적정책건의。
By the methodologies of allometric equation and urban population density analysis, this article analyzes the relation between urban population and urban built - up area in Shandong Province since 1990. The results are shown as follow： During the 15 years from 1990 to 2005, the scaling exponent b tended to decrease overall, indicating that the intensive degree of metropolis land use constantly improves in urban system of Shan- dong Province. While during the 4 years from 2006 to 2010, the scaling exponent b tended to increase overall, manifesting that the intensive degree of medium small cities land use in Shandong Province converges. As the scaling exponent b is set by a fixed value, the proportion coefficient of allometric equation keeps in- creasing. That indicates that the urban land expansion of Shan- dong Province is quicker than the urban population growth. What is more, the analysis result of urban population density,concentration index and unbalance index are the same as allo- metric analysis. Finally, some policy suggestions about the ur- ban development of Shandong Province are proposed based on this research.