中国人口资源与环境
中國人口資源與環境
중국인구자원여배경
China Polulation.Resources and Environment
2012年
9期
83~89
,共null页
闲置宅基地 治理方式 接受意愿 影响因素 多元Logistic模型
閒置宅基地 治理方式 接受意願 影響因素 多元Logistic模型
한치택기지 치리방식 접수의원 영향인소 다원Logistic모형
rural idle residential land; governance patterns; willingness-to-accept; influencing factors; muhinomial Logistic model
农村闲置宅基地治理必须尊重农民意愿。在理论分析的基础上,采用全国9省551份调研问卷数据,运用多元Logistic模型分析农民接受闲置宅基地治理方式的意愿及其影响因素。结果表明:农民接受意愿取决于农民依其自身条件和外部环境对某种治理方式的未来收益和成本状况的预期。农民接受有偿收回和流转方式的可能性要高予其接受无偿收回和撤并零散居民点方式的可能性。具体而言,年老的农民和主要从事非农产业的农民接受无偿收回方式的意愿较高:农民拥有宅基地处数越多,接受撤并零散居民点和有偿收回方式的意愿越高;初中及初中以上教育程度和了解“一户一宅及面积控制”政策的农民更倾向于接受无偿收回和撤并方式;东部地区农民较之西部地区农民更愿意接受流转方式。中部地区农民则更愿意接受撤并和有偿收回方式;郊区农村的农民接受流转和撤并方式的可能性较大。因此,今后要根据农民经济、教育、就业状况和所处地区的具体情况。因地制宜地制定农村闲置宅基地治理政策。
農村閒置宅基地治理必鬚尊重農民意願。在理論分析的基礎上,採用全國9省551份調研問捲數據,運用多元Logistic模型分析農民接受閒置宅基地治理方式的意願及其影響因素。結果錶明:農民接受意願取決于農民依其自身條件和外部環境對某種治理方式的未來收益和成本狀況的預期。農民接受有償收迴和流轉方式的可能性要高予其接受無償收迴和撤併零散居民點方式的可能性。具體而言,年老的農民和主要從事非農產業的農民接受無償收迴方式的意願較高:農民擁有宅基地處數越多,接受撤併零散居民點和有償收迴方式的意願越高;初中及初中以上教育程度和瞭解“一戶一宅及麵積控製”政策的農民更傾嚮于接受無償收迴和撤併方式;東部地區農民較之西部地區農民更願意接受流轉方式。中部地區農民則更願意接受撤併和有償收迴方式;郊區農村的農民接受流轉和撤併方式的可能性較大。因此,今後要根據農民經濟、教育、就業狀況和所處地區的具體情況。因地製宜地製定農村閒置宅基地治理政策。
농촌한치택기지치리필수존중농민의원。재이론분석적기출상,채용전국9성551빈조연문권수거,운용다원Logistic모형분석농민접수한치택기지치리방식적의원급기영향인소。결과표명:농민접수의원취결우농민의기자신조건화외부배경대모충치리방식적미래수익화성본상황적예기。농민접수유상수회화류전방식적가능성요고여기접수무상수회화철병령산거민점방식적가능성。구체이언,년로적농민화주요종사비농산업적농민접수무상수회방식적의원교고:농민옹유택기지처수월다,접수철병령산거민점화유상수회방식적의원월고;초중급초중이상교육정도화료해“일호일택급면적공제”정책적농민경경향우접수무상수회화철병방식;동부지구농민교지서부지구농민경원의접수류전방식。중부지구농민칙경원의접수철병화유상수회방식;교구농촌적농민접수류전화철병방식적가능성교대。인차,금후요근거농민경제、교육、취업상황화소처지구적구체정황。인지제의지제정농촌한치택기지치리정책。
Governing rural idle residential land should respect peasants' willingness. Based on theoretical analysis and the data of 551 questionnaires from 9 provinces in China, this paper discussed peasants' willingness-to-accept and its influencing factors of governance patterns about rural idle residential land with Multinomial Logistic Model. The result showed, peasants' willingness-to-accept of governance patterns about rural idle residential land was based on the expectation to future benefit and cost relied on their own condition and external environment. The probability of peasants' willingness-to-accept of land resumption paid and land transfer is higher than the probability of land resumption not paid and removing or merging rural scatter settlements. In particular, the elder and peasants who worked in non-agricultural industry had stronger willingness to accept land resumption with no paid. Peasants who owned more rural residential land accounted in number, would like to accept governance patterns such as removing or merging rural scatter settlements and land resumption paid. And peasants who received junior high school or more higher education, or had a good understanding to the policy of "one household, one house and area control", possibily prefered accepting land resumption not paid and removing or merging rural scatter settlements. In the meanwhile, willingness-to-accept of governance patterns was different in region and location. The eastern peasants prefered accepting land transfer than western peasants in China. And in middle China, peasants would like to accept removing or merging rural scatter settlements and land resumption paid. Accordingly, peasants who lived in suburban area, had stronger willingness to accept land transfer and removing or merging rural scatter settlements. Therefore, it is necessary to make governance policies of rural idle residential land to satisfy peasants' demand and suit to local conditions such as peasants' economy, education, occupation and location.