CAJ | 학술논문

运用文献资料法、数理统计法、逻辑分析等方法，深入分析北京市竞技体育发展现状、项目布局、项目实力、近4届全运会取得的成绩，以及影响北京市竞技体育更好发展的不利因素。结果显示：北京市竞技体育总体实力只处于第二集团，距上海、广东、江苏、山东等第一集团还有一定差距。要在新时期、新环境下，科学规划与布局基础性项目、水上项目和集体项目，特别是充分利用成功举办奥运会这一历史契机，在保持优势项目的基础上，深入挖掘可能出现的新的金牌（奖牌）增长点，并为实现这一目标采取必要的行动策略。
운용문헌자료법、수리통계법、라집분석등방법，심입분석북경시경기체육발전현상、항목포국、항목실력、근4계전운회취득적성적，이급영향북경시경기체육경호발전적불리인소。결과현시：북경시경기체육총체실력지처우제이집단，거상해、엄동、강소、산동등제일집단환유일정차거。요재신시기、신배경하，과학규화여포국기출성항목、수상항목화집체항목，특별시충분이용성공거판오운회저일역사계궤，재보지우세항목적기출상，심입알굴가능출현적신적금패（장패）증장점，병위실현저일목표채취필요적행동책략。
Through using the method of literature review, mathematical statistics and logical analysis, this paper deeply analyzed Belling sports development, the sports layout and power,result achieved in the last four editions of National Games and disadvantage factors influencing Bei]ing sports development. The re- sult showed that the overall sports strength in Beijing is only in the second group, behind Shanghai, （;uangdong, J iangsu, Shandong, there is a certain gap with the first group. Under the new time and envi ronment, we should scientifically plan the layout of sports, water and collective sports, in particular to take full advantage of this historic opportunity to successfully host the Olympic Games, while maintaining the advantages of the sports, mine the gold point of growth, and take the necessary action strategies.