中国流通经济
中國流通經濟
중국류통경제
China Business and Market
2012年
9期
55~60
,共null页
动态因子模型 居民消费价格指数 消费需求
動態因子模型 居民消費價格指數 消費需求
동태인자모형 거민소비개격지수 소비수구
Dynamic Factor Model; CPI： consumption demand
2012午下半年，中国居民消费价格指数将保持在2％左右，不会发生大的通货膨胀和通货紧缩。为避免价格大起大落，实现经济可持续发展，要坦然面对居民消费价格指数的低位运行,积极扩大消费需求：通过立法和政策引导，鼓励企业诚信经营，生产出消费者需要且信赖的产品；大力淘汰落后产能,促进行业结构调整优化和整体竞争力的提升。
2012午下半年，中國居民消費價格指數將保持在2％左右，不會髮生大的通貨膨脹和通貨緊縮。為避免價格大起大落，實現經濟可持續髮展，要坦然麵對居民消費價格指數的低位運行,積極擴大消費需求：通過立法和政策引導，鼓勵企業誠信經營，生產齣消費者需要且信賴的產品；大力淘汰落後產能,促進行業結構調整優化和整體競爭力的提升。
2012오하반년，중국거민소비개격지수장보지재2％좌우，불회발생대적통화팽창화통화긴축。위피면개격대기대락，실현경제가지속발전，요탄연면대거민소비개격지수적저위운행,적겁확대소비수구：통과입법화정책인도，고려기업성신경영，생산출소비자수요차신뢰적산품；대력도태락후산능,촉진행업결구조정우화화정체경쟁력적제승。
In the second half of 2012, China＇s CPI will stay around 2%; and there will not be serious inflation or deflation. To avoid the price fluctuation and realize the sustainable economic development, we should, first, accept the low CPI and positively stimulate the consumption demand; second, we should encourage the enterprises to operate with integrity and produce more products with high quality; and third, we should shut down more backward production facilities and promote the industrial restructuring and the improvement of overall competitiveness.
