财经科学
財經科學
재경과학
Finance and Economics
2012年
9期
87~94
,共null页
国债融资 国债幻觉 财富效应 消费效应
國債融資 國債幻覺 財富效應 消費效應
국채융자 국채환각 재부효응 소비효응
National Debt: Debt Illusion, Wealth Effect; Consumption Effect
"传统的政府债务观点"与"李嘉图等价观点"对国债融资的消费效应存在很大的争议。本文基于生命周期假说,将国债幻觉引入基本消费函数,区分私人部门持有的国债资产和其他资产两部分,运用中国宏观经济数据实证分析了国债对城镇居民消费的影响。实证结果表明:国债对城镇居民具有一定的"财富效应";人均可支配收入仍是居民消费的基础;其他金融资产对城镇居民具有"负"的财富效应,而住房资产对城镇居民而言具有"正"的财富效应。
"傳統的政府債務觀點"與"李嘉圖等價觀點"對國債融資的消費效應存在很大的爭議。本文基于生命週期假說,將國債幻覺引入基本消費函數,區分私人部門持有的國債資產和其他資產兩部分,運用中國宏觀經濟數據實證分析瞭國債對城鎮居民消費的影響。實證結果錶明:國債對城鎮居民具有一定的"財富效應";人均可支配收入仍是居民消費的基礎;其他金融資產對城鎮居民具有"負"的財富效應,而住房資產對城鎮居民而言具有"正"的財富效應。
"전통적정부채무관점"여"리가도등개관점"대국채융자적소비효응존재흔대적쟁의。본문기우생명주기가설,장국채환각인입기본소비함수,구분사인부문지유적국채자산화기타자산량부분,운용중국굉관경제수거실증분석료국채대성진거민소비적영향。실증결과표명:국채대성진거민구유일정적"재부효응";인균가지배수입잉시거민소비적기출;기타금융자산대성진거민구유"부"적재부효응,이주방자산대성진거민이언구유"정"적재부효응。
There is a big controversy for the consumption effect of debt between the traditional view of gov- ernment and Ricardo equivalence. Based on the life cycle hypothesis, this paper introduced the treasury hal- lucinations into the basic consumption function, put the private sector' s property in two parts which are debt assets andother assets, and analyzed the consumption effect of national debt of the urban residents. The em- pirical results show that: there is the wealth effect for urban residents. The per capita disposable income is still the foundation of residents' consumption. Other financial assets have negative wealth effect, and housing assets have a positive wealth effect.