CAJ | 학술논문

对众多需要实施项目进行优化选择，找出合理的优先级标准的方法，是进行多项目管理研究中需要解决的关键问题．针对有限资源限制和众多项目需要实施的决策管理，作者研究依据项目间资源转移矩阵找出优先级标准，从项目设计和已实施的项目中提取项目间资源转移关系，通过量化处理后构造资源转移概率矩阵，则与该资源变化矩阵对应的马尔科夫链的平稳分布即为项目最终占用资源的比例序列或项目的影响程度序列；以此作为评价项目优先级的标准，确定项目重要程度的排序．
대음다수요실시항목진행우화선택，조출합리적우선급표준적방법，시진행다항목관리연구중수요해결적관건문제．침대유한자원한제화음다항목수요실시적결책관리，작자연구의거항목간자원전이구진조출우선급표준，종항목설계화이실시적항목중제취항목간자원전이관계，통과양화처리후구조자원전이개솔구진，칙여해자원변화구진대응적마이과부련적평은분포즉위항목최종점용자원적비례서렬혹항목적영향정도서렬；이차작위평개항목우선급적표준，학정항목중요정도적배서．
During the multi-project management research, finding out a reasonable priority standard to perform the optimization section of multi-project is the key issue that needs to be carried out. For the decision management of limited resources and numerous projects, the author provides the priority standard according to the transition matrix of resources among projects. And extract the transition relations of resources from the projects designed and implemented, then structure transition probability matrix of resources through quantifying the transition relations of resources among projects, the stationary distribution of the Markov chain which is corresponding to the resource matrix, is the ration sequence of final resources occupation or the influence level sequence; the authors take it as the criteria of evaluating the priority of projects and determining the ranking of significance.