CAJ | 학술논문

利用1995～2007年的中国投入产出表，测算了中国细分行业的间接碳排放量，并在此基础上，基于细分行业面板数据，运用面板协整和面板误差修正模型，实证分析了中国整体和第二产业的经济增长、能源消耗与碳排放之间的长期均衡关系和短期影响。实证分析和结论稳健性检验的结果表明，中国经济增长、能源消耗与碳排放三者之间存在长期均衡关系；经济增长和碳排放之间存在正向的短期因果关系；能源消耗对碳排放具有负向短期影响。
이용1995～2007년적중국투입산출표，측산료중국세분행업적간접탄배방량，병재차기출상，기우세분행업면판수거，운용면판협정화면판오차수정모형，실증분석료중국정체화제이산업적경제증장、능원소모여탄배방지간적장기균형관계화단기영향。실증분석화결론은건성검험적결과표명，중국경제증장、능원소모여탄배방삼자지간존재장기균형관계；경제증장화탄배방지간존재정향적단기인과관계；능원소모대탄배방구유부향단기영향。
The indirect carbon emissions arc calculated by using Chinese input -output tables from 1995 to 2007. Based on the panel data, panel co - integration and error correction models, the long - term equilibrium relationships and short - term effect between economic growth, energy consumption and carbon emissions are empirically analyzed. The results show that the long - term co - integration relationship between economic growth, energy consumption and carbon emissions exists, and Chinese economic growth is a positive short - term cause to carbon emissions, while energy consumption negatively causes carbon emissions.