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2012年
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农村居民 消费 收入 协整分析
農村居民 消費 收入 協整分析
농촌거민 소비 수입 협정분석
rural residents consumption income cointegration analysis
根据1978年～2011年的时间序列数据,运用协整理论和误差修正模型实证分析了我国农村居民人均收入与消费支出之间的关系。结果表明,二者之间存在协整关系,消费对收入的长期弹性系数为0.9599,短期弹性系数是0.8396,因而农村居民收入对消费影响显著,必须建立增加农村居民收入的长效机制。
根據1978年～2011年的時間序列數據,運用協整理論和誤差脩正模型實證分析瞭我國農村居民人均收入與消費支齣之間的關繫。結果錶明,二者之間存在協整關繫,消費對收入的長期彈性繫數為0.9599,短期彈性繫數是0.8396,因而農村居民收入對消費影響顯著,必鬚建立增加農村居民收入的長效機製。
근거1978년～2011년적시간서렬수거,운용협정이론화오차수정모형실증분석료아국농촌거민인균수입여소비지출지간적관계。결과표명,이자지간존재협정관계,소비대수입적장기탄성계수위0.9599,단기탄성계수시0.8396,인이농촌거민수입대소비영향현저,필수건립증가농촌거민수입적장효궤제。
Based on the time series data from 1978 to 2011,this papers uses cointegration theory and error correction model to empirically analyze the relationship between per capita income and consumption expenditures of China＇s rural residents.Results show that there exists a long-term cointegration relationship and the long-term elasticity coefficient between consumption and income is 0.9599 while the short-term elasticity coefficient is 0.8396,thus,the effect of the rural residents income on consumption is significant and long-term mechanism must be established to increase the income of rural residents.
