CAJ | 학술논문

随着中国经济国际化的加深，国际技术扩散成为了近年来研究的热门话题，然而各研究结果存在着多种矛盾的解释，笔者认为这主要是由于对模型结构转化和外溢时滞等影响导致模型和现实脱离所致。本文用普遍被采用的全要素生产率（TFP）模型，对中国1985—2007年的进口、出口、FDI和对外直接投资四种外溢渠道配合相关统计数据进行了分析。分析的结果除显示国内研发投入和FDI对于技术的进步具有显著的促进作用之外，也发现在分析的早期阶段由于中国在国际贸易中的设备引进和国际生产环节向中国转移特色，导致国际贸易因素对TFP的影响作用向国内研发转移，从而使前者表现为不显著而后者的影响作用被夸大，本文的结果还显示，现阶段对外投资的逆向知识获取效应不明显是效率损失的结果，而不能说明理论的失效。
수착중국경제국제화적가심，국제기술확산성위료근년래연구적열문화제，연이각연구결과존재착다충모순적해석，필자인위저주요시유우대모형결구전화화외일시체등영향도치모형화현실탈리소치。본문용보편피채용적전요소생산솔（TFP）모형，대중국1985—2007년적진구、출구、FDI화대외직접투자사충외일거도배합상관통계수거진행료분석。분석적결과제현시국내연발투입화FDI대우기술적진보구유현저적촉진작용지외，야발현재분석적조기계단유우중국재국제무역중적설비인진화국제생산배절향중국전이특색，도치국제무역인소대TFP적영향작용향국내연발전이，종이사전자표현위불현저이후자적영향작용피과대，본문적결과환현시，현계단대외투자적역향지식획취효응불명현시효솔손실적결과，이불능설명이론적실효。
With the deepening of Chinese economics＇ internationalization, international technological diffuse has become a hot topic. There are various contradict explanations for different research results. The structure change of model and delay from spill- overs lead to that the model separates from practice. The common used Total Factor Productivity （TFP） model is applied to inspect the spillover effects of Chinese import, export, FDI, and Outward - Foreign Direct Investment（OFD） on TFP during a time span from the year of 1985 to 2007. The results show that both domestic R＆D investment and FDI have remarkable effects, con- sisting with the results of former researches. Besides, they also indicate how the structure change of model has led to the import effects that are difficult to explain, and how the delay effect of spillovers has led to indistinct export results. Furthermore, the un- remarkable regression results of the inverse knowledge acquisition from abroad for OFDI are a result of efficiency lose, but are not the failure of the theory.