CAJ | 학술논문

利用中国1%人口抽样调查和人口普查的省域数据,从四个截面考察人口外流、农村人口老龄化对农村居民消费的影响,研究结果发现,农村人口老龄化对农村居民消费倾向具有显著的正向影响,农村老年人口的生活来源与健康状况是其中的影响因素;人口流动通过直接与间接效应对农村居民消费也表现出显著的正向影响。人口外流与老龄化均不同程度刺激、助长了农村居民消费。完善农村的社会养老及医疗保障体系、适度发展老年产业、规范和鼓励农村人口流动为现时期应对农村人口老龄化和促进农村居民消费提供了重要切入点。
이용중국1%인구추양조사화인구보사적성역수거,종사개절면고찰인구외류、농촌인구노령화대농촌거민소비적영향,연구결과발현,농촌인구노령화대농촌거민소비경향구유현저적정향영향,농촌노년인구적생활래원여건강상황시기중적영향인소;인구류동통과직접여간접효응대농촌거민소비야표현출현저적정향영향。인구외류여노령화균불동정도자격、조장료농촌거민소비。완선농촌적사회양로급의료보장체계、괄도발전노년산업、규범화고려농촌인구류동위현시기응대농촌인구노령화화촉진농촌거민소비제공료중요절입점。
Based on provincial data of 1% population sampling survey and population census in China, the analysis of the impacts of the population outflow and the rural population aging on rural household consump- tion from four sections suggests that the rural population aging has a significant positive impact on the rural household consumption tendency, which is supported by the life source and health status of rural elderly population in some extent. In addition, population mobility also shows a significant positive impact on rural household consumption through the direct and indirect effect. Population outflow and aging stimulate and encourage the rural household consumption in some degree. Perfecting rural society endowment and medical security system, developing aged industry properly and standardizing and encouraging population mobility provide important points for dealing with the aging and promoting rural household consumption.