CAJ | 학술논문

通过选取我国各省1995-2010年能源消费与地区生产总值的面板数据，进行面板单位根与协整检验，并结合柯布一道格拉斯生产函数，建立经济增长与能源消费的变系数模型。实证结果表明，经济增长与能源消费之间存在长期协整关系，且各地区经济增长对能源消费的初始依赖有较大差异，能源消费的产出弹性也反映出各地区能源使用效率的状况。要保持我国经济可持续发展，就需要提高能源使用效率，优化能源消费结构，实现经济与能源的协调发展。
통과선취아국각성1995-2010년능원소비여지구생산총치적면판수거，진행면판단위근여협정검험，병결합가포일도격랍사생산함수，건립경제증장여능원소비적변계수모형。실증결과표명，경제증장여능원소비지간존재장기협정관계，차각지구경제증장대능원소비적초시의뢰유교대차이，능원소비적산출탄성야반영출각지구능원사용효솔적상황。요보지아국경제가지속발전，취수요제고능원사용효솔，우화능원소비결구，실현경제여능원적협조발전。
By selecting the panel data of energy consumption and GDP of Chinese provinces in 1995-2010, the panel data which be processed by panel unit root test, cointegration test and combined with the Cobb -- Douglas production function establish variable coefficients model of economic growth and energy consumption. The results show that it exists long-term cointegration relationship between economic growth and energy consumption, and have bigger differences in the initial dependency of energy consumption of economic growth. The output elasticity of energy consumption also reflects the status of the regional energy efficiency. To keep the sustainable development of economy and achieve the coordinated development of economy and energy, it is necessary to improve the energy efficiency, optimize energy consumption structure.