CAJ | 학술논문

青海省在经济发展中发挥矿产资源优势的同时，也面临着能源强度高，产业结构不合理以及第三产业发展缓慢等问题。文章运用VAR和SVAR模型，对青海省第三产业和能源强度的关系进行了分析。研究表明：在短期内，第三产业的发展能够显著降低能源强度；在中长期内，第三产业的发展对降低能源强度的作用趋于平稳。据此，应大力发展第三产业中的优势行业，尤其要发展旅游业，这样能够在发挥青海省旅游资源优势的同时，实现产业结构调整和降低能源强度的多赢目标。
청해성재경제발전중발휘광산자원우세적동시，야면림착능원강도고，산업결구불합리이급제삼산업발전완만등문제。문장운용VAR화SVAR모형，대청해성제삼산업화능원강도적관계진행료분석。연구표명：재단기내，제삼산업적발전능구현저강저능원강도；재중장기내，제삼산업적발전대강저능원강도적작용추우평은。거차，응대력발전제삼산업중적우세행업，우기요발전여유업，저양능구재발휘청해성여유자원우세적동시，실현산업결구조정화강저능원강도적다영목표。
Qinghai Province has been playing a role of mineral resources in the economic development, while also facing the problems of high energy intensity, irrational industrial structure, and the slow development of tertiary industry. This paper uses VAR and SVAR model, analyzes the relationship between the tertiary industry in Qinghai province and the energy intensity. The result shows that： in the short term, the development of tertiary industry can significantly reduce energy intensity; in the medium to long term, the role of reducing energy intensity tends smooth. Accordingly, we propose to vigorously develop the dominant industries of the tertiary industry, especially tourism industry. Those would be useful for developing the advantage of tourism resources in Qingbai Province, at the same time it can realize the win-win goal between adiusting industrial structure and reducing energy intensity.