CAJ | 학술논문

海外投资和劳务输出都是我国对外经济劳务合作的重要发展战略，并且在加入世贸组织后均取得了大幅度的发展，因此探明两者间的内在联系对政策推行有较大的借鉴意义。本文通过理论机理分析和跨国面板数据实证研究，表明在总体上我国的海外投资能促进对外劳务输出和劳务合作，但对不同收入水平国家海外投资的劳务输出效应存在较大差异，即对发达国家和最不发达国家的海外投资能促进劳务输出，对其他发展中国家的海外投资并不影响劳务输出。考虑到劳务输出数据的非负整数性质，本文使用计数模型进一步进行实证研究，泊松回归和负二项回归结果均再次验证对发达国家和最不发达国家的海外投资能促进我国的劳务输出。
해외투자화노무수출도시아국대외경제노무합작적중요발전전략，병차재가입세무조직후균취득료대폭도적발전，인차탐명량자간적내재련계대정책추행유교대적차감의의。본문통과이론궤리분석화과국면판수거실증연구，표명재총체상아국적해외투자능촉진대외노무수출화노무합작，단대불동수입수평국가해외투자적노무수출효응존재교대차이，즉대발체국가화최불발체국가적해외투자능촉진노무수출，대기타발전중국가적해외투자병불영향노무수출。고필도노무수출수거적비부정수성질，본문사용계수모형진일보진행실증연구，박송회귀화부이항회귀결과균재차험증대발체국가화최불발체국가적해외투자능촉진아국적노무수출。
Overseas investment and labor export are important development strategies of China＇s foreign cooperation of economy and labor. Both of them achieve substantial developments after joining the WTO. Therefore, proving the intrinsic link of them is important for policy implementation. In this paper, the authors use theory mechanism analysis and multinational panel data empirical research. Results show that China＇s overseas investment can promote labor export and cooperation in general. But there exist large differences of the labor export effect of overseas investment to countries with different income level, that is, overseas investment to developed countries and least developed countries can promote labor export, while overseas investment to other developing countries does not affect the labor export. Taking into account the nonnegative integers nature of labor export data, the authors use count model for further empirical research in this paper. The results of both Poisson regression and negative binomial regression verify that overseas investment to developed countries and least developed countries can promote China＇s labor export.