经济理论与经济管理
經濟理論與經濟管理
경제이론여경제관리
Economic Theory and Business Management
2012年
11期
104~112
,共null页
农村人口 自愿转移 意愿 有序Logit模型
農村人口 自願轉移 意願 有序Logit模型
농촌인구 자원전이 의원 유서Logit모형
rural population; voluntary migration; will; ordered logit model
研究人口自愿性转移的意愿及影响因素,有利于转移政策的制定与完善,实现人口转移目标。本文基于对三峡生态屏障区农村人口转移的实地调查,运用有序Logit模型,从家庭基本情况、家庭资本、家庭社会保障水平、对以往移民政策的了解程度和其他社会因素等五个方面对其转移意愿进行了分析,研究表明:年龄、家庭参加医疗保险人数、对三峡移民政策了解程度、是否为原三峡移民和现有居住环境及对环境满意度等因素对农村人口的转移意愿有显著性影响。
研究人口自願性轉移的意願及影響因素,有利于轉移政策的製定與完善,實現人口轉移目標。本文基于對三峽生態屏障區農村人口轉移的實地調查,運用有序Logit模型,從傢庭基本情況、傢庭資本、傢庭社會保障水平、對以往移民政策的瞭解程度和其他社會因素等五箇方麵對其轉移意願進行瞭分析,研究錶明:年齡、傢庭參加醫療保險人數、對三峽移民政策瞭解程度、是否為原三峽移民和現有居住環境及對環境滿意度等因素對農村人口的轉移意願有顯著性影響。
연구인구자원성전이적의원급영향인소,유리우전이정책적제정여완선,실현인구전이목표。본문기우대삼협생태병장구농촌인구전이적실지조사,운용유서Logit모형,종가정기본정황、가정자본、가정사회보장수평、대이왕이민정책적료해정도화기타사회인소등오개방면대기전이의원진행료분석,연구표명:년령、가정삼가의료보험인수、대삼협이민정책료해정도、시부위원삼협이민화현유거주배경급대배경만의도등인소대농촌인구적전이의원유현저성영향。
Research on the voluntary migration of population and its factors was conducive to policy- making and policy development of the population transfer, and the achievement of the goal of migration. Based on the field survey of migration of the Three Gorges Eco-barrier District, this paper used ordered logit model to carry out the analysis of migration on the following five factors: the basic situation of the family, family capital, family social security level, their level of understanding of past immigration policy and other social factors. The study showed that: age, the number of family member to participate in the health insurance, the degree of understanding of immigration policy of the Three Gorges, the Three Gor- ges migrants, existing living environment, and satisfaction of environment had significant impacts on the rural population transfer.