亚太经济
亞太經濟
아태경제
Asia-Pacific Economic Review
2012年
6期
47~51
,共null页
垂直专业化 中间产品 最终产品
垂直專業化 中間產品 最終產品
수직전업화 중간산품 최종산품
Vertical Specialization; Intermediate products; Final products
考虑到垂直专业化分工体系下中日美三角贸易中日本的特殊地位，本文以日本为分析对象，通过对中日美第七类商品中第75、76和77章商品贸易进行协整检验和误差修正模型，量化了美国从中国进口波动会引起的日本出口波动的幅度，从而阐释了2008—2009年金融危机期间日本遭受的“超调”式贸易波动。
攷慮到垂直專業化分工體繫下中日美三角貿易中日本的特殊地位，本文以日本為分析對象，通過對中日美第七類商品中第75、76和77章商品貿易進行協整檢驗和誤差脩正模型，量化瞭美國從中國進口波動會引起的日本齣口波動的幅度，從而闡釋瞭2008—2009年金融危機期間日本遭受的“超調”式貿易波動。
고필도수직전업화분공체계하중일미삼각무역중일본적특수지위，본문이일본위분석대상，통과대중일미제칠류상품중제75、76화77장상품무역진행협정검험화오차수정모형，양화료미국종중국진구파동회인기적일본출구파동적폭도，종이천석료2008—2009년금융위궤기간일본조수적“초조”식무역파동。
This paper have a deep analysis on China. Japan and U. S. triangle trade especially SITC 7 trade and finds Japan is the main source of China importing immediate inputs and the U. S. is the key destination of China processing final products. Besides, China. Japan and U. S. trade structure gradually changes from SITC 8 to SITC 7, especially ICT products. Based on Japan special status on vertical specialization, This paper take Japan for example and have an econometrical analysis on ICT, meanwhile we measure the volatility of Japan intermedi- ate products exports to China due to the volatilityofU. S. final products imports from China, so we can explain Japan trade ＂overshooting＂ volatility during 2008-2009 crisis.
