重庆理工大学学报:社会科学版
重慶理工大學學報:社會科學版
중경리공대학학보:사회과학판
Journal of Chongqing Institute of Technology
2012年
11期
40~46
,共null页
消费支出 灰色预测 灰色关联度、
消費支齣 灰色預測 灰色關聯度、
소비지출 회색예측 회색관련도、
consumption expenditure;Gray prediction; Gray Relation
在分析重庆农村居民消费现状的基础上,采用灰色预测模型以及灰色关联分析方法,分析影响消费支出的构成因素的关联程度及次序,并对2012--2014年重庆农村居民消费支出进行预测。结果表明:未来3年重庆市农村居民消费支出仍以较快速度增长,与消费支出灰色关联度最高的三大构成因素依次是居住、衣着、家庭设备用品及服务;重庆农村居民的消费结构有所改善,但是与城镇居民相比其消费结构还有待进一步优化。
在分析重慶農村居民消費現狀的基礎上,採用灰色預測模型以及灰色關聯分析方法,分析影響消費支齣的構成因素的關聯程度及次序,併對2012--2014年重慶農村居民消費支齣進行預測。結果錶明:未來3年重慶市農村居民消費支齣仍以較快速度增長,與消費支齣灰色關聯度最高的三大構成因素依次是居住、衣著、傢庭設備用品及服務;重慶農村居民的消費結構有所改善,但是與城鎮居民相比其消費結構還有待進一步優化。
재분석중경농촌거민소비현상적기출상,채용회색예측모형이급회색관련분석방법,분석영향소비지출적구성인소적관련정도급차서,병대2012--2014년중경농촌거민소비지출진행예측。결과표명:미래3년중경시농촌거민소비지출잉이교쾌속도증장,여소비지출회색관련도최고적삼대구성인소의차시거주、의착、가정설비용품급복무;중경농촌거민적소비결구유소개선,단시여성진거민상비기소비결구환유대진일보우화。
Based on the analysis of the current situation of Chongqing' s rural residents' consump- tion, and by using the grey prediction model and the grey relational analysis method, this paper fore- casts the Chongqing' s residents' consumption from 2011 to 2014, and analyzes the relevant factors and the degree sequence which affect eight kinds of factors of consumption expenditures. Forecast and analysis show that in the next four years in Chongqing, the rural resident consumption is growing at a faster pace. And the three highest gray relational degree constitute factors in turn are living, and clothing, and family equipment supplies and service. It shows that the consumption structure of Chongqing' s rural residents has been improved, but the gap with town residents' consumption struc- ture is still very obvious.