地域研究与开发
地域研究與開髮
지역연구여개발
Areal Research and Development
2012年
6期
123~126
,共null页
霜雪低温灾害 特征 周期规律 寒冷气候事件 明代 山西省
霜雪低溫災害 特徵 週期規律 寒冷氣候事件 明代 山西省
상설저온재해 특정 주기규률 한랭기후사건 명대 산서성
frost-snow and low-temperature disasters ; characteristics ; periodicity ; cold climate events ; Ming Dynasty; Shanxi Province
通过对山西明代历史文献资料的搜集和统计分析，研究了该地区霜雪低温灾害的等级、阶段、周期与成因。结果表明，明代山西共发生霜雪低温灾害114次，其中轻、中、重度分别为22，66，26次。灾害变化可分为2个阶段，公元1368--1519年为第一阶段，频次较少，强度较弱，以轻、中度灾害为主；1520--1644年为第二阶段，频次较高，强度较大，以中度和重度灾害为主。小波分析显示，灾害存在3个明显的周期，即2～3a，9—14a和45—55a。明代山西在1531—1533年、1578--1588年、1591-1607年和1631--1642年共发生了4次寒冷气候事件。寒冷气候事件都发生在1520年之后，说明明代中晚期的气候比早期寒冷。
通過對山西明代歷史文獻資料的搜集和統計分析，研究瞭該地區霜雪低溫災害的等級、階段、週期與成因。結果錶明，明代山西共髮生霜雪低溫災害114次，其中輕、中、重度分彆為22，66，26次。災害變化可分為2箇階段，公元1368--1519年為第一階段，頻次較少，彊度較弱，以輕、中度災害為主；1520--1644年為第二階段，頻次較高，彊度較大，以中度和重度災害為主。小波分析顯示，災害存在3箇明顯的週期，即2～3a，9—14a和45—55a。明代山西在1531—1533年、1578--1588年、1591-1607年和1631--1642年共髮生瞭4次寒冷氣候事件。寒冷氣候事件都髮生在1520年之後，說明明代中晚期的氣候比早期寒冷。
통과대산서명대역사문헌자료적수집화통계분석，연구료해지구상설저온재해적등급、계단、주기여성인。결과표명，명대산서공발생상설저온재해114차，기중경、중、중도분별위22，66，26차。재해변화가분위2개계단，공원1368--1519년위제일계단，빈차교소，강도교약，이경、중도재해위주；1520--1644년위제이계단，빈차교고，강도교대，이중도화중도재해위주。소파분석현시，재해존재3개명현적주기，즉2～3a，9—14a화45—55a。명대산서재1531—1533년、1578--1588년、1591-1607년화1631--1642년공발생료4차한랭기후사건。한랭기후사건도발생재1520년지후，설명명대중만기적기후비조기한랭。
Based on collecting, reorganizing and analyzing the history data about Shanxi in Ming Dynasty, this paper studied the grade series, stage changes, different grades＇ periodicity and reason of the frost-snow and low-tem- perature disasters in Shanxi. The statistical results showed that the disasters had 114 times, the disasters＇ grade may be divided into mild, moderate and severe disaster, and they were respectively 22, 66 and 26 times. The dis- asters can be divided into two stages. The first stage was from 1368 to 1519, the second stage was from 1520 to 1644. The first stage was that the disasters happen occasionally, and most of them were mild and moderate disas- ters. The second stage was that the disasters happen frequently, and most of them were moderate and the most seri- ous. According to wavelets analysis, it was known that there were mainly 2 -3a period, 9 - 14a period and 45 55a period. There were four cold climate events from 1531 to 1533, from 1578 to 1588, from 1591 to 1607 and from 1631 to 1642. The cold weather events had occurred after 1520 and prescribed the climate of the middle and late Ming Dynasty was colder than that of the early Ming Dynasty.
