CAJ | 학술논문

通过系统分析中国与中东欧贸易的现状以及影响贸易的主要因素,构建了3个引力模型,运用面板数据验证了经济规模对中国与中东欧贸易具有显著促进作用,人口规模对中国与中东欧贸易促进作用不显著;而地理距离不利于中国与中东欧贸易的扩大,欧盟东扩则有利于中国与中东欧贸易的扩大。研究还表明,中国与中东欧贸易偏离了林德的＂需求相似论＂。最后,基于引力模型估计了中国与中东欧贸易的潜力和合作重点,即：一要进口更多中东欧产品;二要拓展合作领域。
통과계통분석중국여중동구무역적현상이급영향무역적주요인소,구건료3개인력모형,운용면판수거험증료경제규모대중국여중동구무역구유현저촉진작용,인구규모대중국여중동구무역촉진작용불현저;이지리거리불리우중국여중동구무역적확대,구맹동확칙유리우중국여중동구무역적확대。연구환표명,중국여중동구무역편리료림덕적＂수구상사론＂。최후,기우인력모형고계료중국여중동구무역적잠력화합작중점,즉：일요진구경다중동구산품;이요탁전합작영역。
Through systematic analysis of current situations and main influencing factors of trade between China and Middle East European,this paper uses panel data and builts three gravity models to prove that economic scale has a significant promotion effect on China and Middle East Europe trade,while promotion effect of scale of population is not significant;geographical distance is not conducive to trade expansion between China and Middle East Europe,and the eastward expansion of the European Union is in favor of trade expansion between China and Middle East Europe.Studies also show that trade between China and Middle East Europe is off Linder ＂demand theory of similarity＂.Finally,based on the gravity model this paper makes estimation of trade potential and cooperation between China and Middle East Europe which is importing more products from Middle Eastern Europe and expanding the scope of cooperation.