CAJ | 학술논문

为了定量研究渤海主要海湾海洋资源和生态承载状态，有效利用渤海海洋资源，本文建立了海湾资源和生态环境承载力评价指标体系．运用状态空闻评价模型对渤海内三个海湾资源和生态环境承载力进行了综合评价。结果显示，2005—2008年三湾均处于超载状态，其中，莱州湾承载压力最大，承载力值偏低，渤海湾和辽东湾承载力值略好。通过分析，渤海内三湾在未来的社会经济发展过程中将面临较大的资源和生态环境制约，因此，必须通过合理调整产业结构，发展循环经济，严格控制人口增长，加大海洋环境治理和生态修复力度，逐步恢复污染海域的生态系统服务和环境纳污功能，才能有效提高渤海生态环境整体承载水平。
위료정량연구발해주요해만해양자원화생태승재상태，유효이용발해해양자원，본문건립료해만자원화생태배경승재력평개지표체계．운용상태공문평개모형대발해내삼개해만자원화생태배경승재력진행료종합평개。결과현시，2005—2008년삼만균처우초재상태，기중，래주만승재압력최대，승재력치편저，발해만화료동만승재력치략호。통과분석，발해내삼만재미래적사회경제발전과정중장면림교대적자원화생태배경제약，인차，필수통과합리조정산업결구，발전순배경제，엄격공제인구증장，가대해양배경치리화생태수복력도，축보회복오염해역적생태계통복무화배경납오공능，재능유효제고발해생태배경정체승재수평。
The paper establishes an evaluation system of indicators for the carrying capacity of marine resources, ecology and environment （CMREE） to improve the quantitative research on the state of marine ecological carrying capacity for Bohai Sea, and also meet the urgent need for more effective way in using and exploiting the marine resources. It gets the comprehensive assessments for three bays in Bohai Sea by running Status-Space Evaluation Method. The results showed that the three bays were all overloaded from 2005 to 2008. Additonally, Laizhou Bay took the most pressure and the CMREE was relatively low, Bohai Bay and Liaodong Bay were relatively good. By analyzing, marine resources, ecology and environment in these three bays of Bohai Sea will be the most seriously restrictive factors for social economic development in the future. Therefore, the effective way to improve CMREE for the whole Bohai Sea is restructuring industries, promoting the circular economy, controlling the population growth, implementing the marine governance, strengthening the ecological recover, and gradually recovering the marine ecosystem services and environmental capacity.