河北经贸大学学报
河北經貿大學學報
하북경무대학학보
Journal Of Hebei University Of Economics and Trade
2013年
1期
53~57
,共null页
FDI流入 货物贸易出口 碳排放 协整分析 Granger非因果关系
FDI流入 貨物貿易齣口 碳排放 協整分析 Granger非因果關繫
FDI류입 화물무역출구 탄배방 협정분석 Granger비인과관계
FDI inflows; goods trade export; COL emission; co integration analysis; Granger non-causality relation
基于对单位GDP碳排放、FDI流入量、货物贸易出口额和经济增长四个变量间的实证研究结果，发现从长期直接效应来看，货物贸易出口和GDP与单位GDP碳排放存在相关关系。但有些变量的短期效应与长期总效应存在矛盾，有些变量长期直接效应与总效应存在矛盾，有些变量短期内无效应但长期效应显著。
基于對單位GDP碳排放、FDI流入量、貨物貿易齣口額和經濟增長四箇變量間的實證研究結果，髮現從長期直接效應來看，貨物貿易齣口和GDP與單位GDP碳排放存在相關關繫。但有些變量的短期效應與長期總效應存在矛盾，有些變量長期直接效應與總效應存在矛盾，有些變量短期內無效應但長期效應顯著。
기우대단위GDP탄배방、FDI류입량、화물무역출구액화경제증장사개변량간적실증연구결과，발현종장기직접효응래간，화물무역출구화GDP여단위GDP탄배방존재상관관계。단유사변량적단기효응여장기총효응존재모순，유사변량장기직접효응여총효응존재모순，유사변량단기내무효응단장기효응현저。
Based on the study on relationship among C02 emissions of unit GDP, FDI inflows, goods trade export, and the economy increase, the resuhs showed： there exists the relevance relationship between goods trade export and the C02 emissions of unit GDP. In addition, there exists a contradiction between short term direct effect and long term overall effect. Some exists a contradiction between long term direct effect and long term overall effect. Some variables have no effect in the short term but long-term effect is significant.
