金融研究
金融研究
금융연구
Journal of Financial Research
2012年
12期
23~37
,共null页
全球失衡 国际分工 制造业-金融业比较优势
全毬失衡 國際分工 製造業-金融業比較優勢
전구실형 국제분공 제조업-금융업비교우세
Global imbalances, International division, Manufacturing- finance comparative advantage
仅从金融发展差异的角度,不能揭示全球经常账户失衡的本质原因。全球失衡不只是金融部门的问题,其实质是商品和服务贸易的不平衡。基于制造业一金融业比较优势的国际分工,制造业较强的国家产生经常账户盈余,而金融业较强的国家产生经常账户赤字。缺乏充分协调的国际分工,是造成全球失衡的根源。因此,通过国际合作,调整各国间不合理的结构性差异,是在不损害任何国家福利的前提下解决全球失衡的关键途径。赤字国提升本国制造业生产力、盈余国提升本国金融业生产力,将缓解目前全球失衡造成的赤字国债务不可持续、盈余国财务负担过重等问题。
僅從金融髮展差異的角度,不能揭示全毬經常賬戶失衡的本質原因。全毬失衡不隻是金融部門的問題,其實質是商品和服務貿易的不平衡。基于製造業一金融業比較優勢的國際分工,製造業較彊的國傢產生經常賬戶盈餘,而金融業較彊的國傢產生經常賬戶赤字。缺乏充分協調的國際分工,是造成全毬失衡的根源。因此,通過國際閤作,調整各國間不閤理的結構性差異,是在不損害任何國傢福利的前提下解決全毬失衡的關鍵途徑。赤字國提升本國製造業生產力、盈餘國提升本國金融業生產力,將緩解目前全毬失衡造成的赤字國債務不可持續、盈餘國財務負擔過重等問題。
부종금융발전차이적각도,불능게시전구경상장호실형적본질원인。전구실형불지시금융부문적문제,기실질시상품화복무무역적불평형。기우제조업일금융업비교우세적국제분공,제조업교강적국가산생경상장호영여,이금융업교강적국가산생경상장호적자。결핍충분협조적국제분공,시조성전구실형적근원。인차,통과국제합작,조정각국간불합리적결구성차이,시재불손해임하국가복리적전제하해결전구실형적관건도경。적자국제승본국제조업생산력、영여국제승본국금융업생산력,장완해목전전구실형조성적적자국채무불가지속、영여국재무부담과중등문제。
Financial development alone cannot reveal the essential cause to global current account imbalances, because they are fundamentally unbalanced trade in goods and services. According to the international division based on the manufacturing - finance comparative advantage, countries whose manufacturing is stronger run current account surpluses, whereas countries whose finance is stronger run deficits. This international division that lacks sufficient coordination is the source to global imbalances. Adjusting structural differences across countries through international cooperation is the key to cure global imbalances without impairing any country's welfare. As the deficit countries increase their manufacturing productivities, and the surplus countries increase their financial productivities, the unsustainability of the debts over deficit countries and the fiscal burdens over surplus countries, which all come from global imbalances, will be relieved.