台湾研究集刊
檯灣研究集刊
태만연구집간
Taiwan Research Quarterly
2012年
6期
21~30
,共null页
曹永荣 韩瑞霞 徐剑 刘康 吕杰 约翰·奥垂治
曹永榮 韓瑞霞 徐劍 劉康 呂傑 約翰·奧垂治
조영영 한서하 서검 류강 려걸 약한·오수치
中美关系 台湾省 问题 公众态度 logistic模型
中美關繫 檯灣省 問題 公衆態度 logistic模型
중미관계 태만성 문제 공음태도 logistic모형
Sino-U. S. relations,Taiwan issue, public attitude,logistic model
台湾历来是中国领土的一部分,由于台湾优越的地理位置,长期受到外来势力的干扰。二战胜利后,台湾问题本来是国共内战遗留的内政问题,但由于美国的多方阻挠,台湾问题成为中美关系中最敏感的问题之一。自中国恢复联合国合法席位以及中美建交以后,包括美国在内的绝大部分国家都承认“台湾是中国的一部分”。中美关系下的台湾问题经历了中美对峙、中美建交、冷战后和9·11后以后,美国民众到底是如何认识中国台湾问题的?本文采用logistic模型,利用美国人对华态度实证调研的数据,全面解读美国民众如何看待中国台湾,并从中了解哪些因素影响美国民众对中国台湾地位的认识。
檯灣歷來是中國領土的一部分,由于檯灣優越的地理位置,長期受到外來勢力的榦擾。二戰勝利後,檯灣問題本來是國共內戰遺留的內政問題,但由于美國的多方阻撓,檯灣問題成為中美關繫中最敏感的問題之一。自中國恢複聯閤國閤法席位以及中美建交以後,包括美國在內的絕大部分國傢都承認“檯灣是中國的一部分”。中美關繫下的檯灣問題經歷瞭中美對峙、中美建交、冷戰後和9·11後以後,美國民衆到底是如何認識中國檯灣問題的?本文採用logistic模型,利用美國人對華態度實證調研的數據,全麵解讀美國民衆如何看待中國檯灣,併從中瞭解哪些因素影響美國民衆對中國檯灣地位的認識。
태만력래시중국령토적일부분,유우태만우월적지리위치,장기수도외래세력적간우。이전성리후,태만문제본래시국공내전유류적내정문제,단유우미국적다방조뇨,태만문제성위중미관계중최민감적문제지일。자중국회복연합국합법석위이급중미건교이후,포괄미국재내적절대부분국가도승인“태만시중국적일부분”。중미관계하적태만문제경력료중미대치、중미건교、랭전후화9·11후이후,미국민음도저시여하인식중국태만문제적?본문채용logistic모형,이용미국인대화태도실증조연적수거,전면해독미국민음여하간대중국태만,병종중료해나사인소영향미국민음대중국태만지위적인식。
Taiwan has always been part of China. For the sake of its strategic location, Taiwan had been invaded and inter- vened over and over again by foreign forces. The Taiwan issue ,which was left over by the civil war between the Communist Par- ty of China and Kuomintang after World War II,is,in fact, the China's own internal affairs. Yet it has now become one of the most sensitive one in Sino-U. S relations simply because of the interference by the United States. The fact that Taiwan is part of China has been acknowledged by the overwhelming majority of the countries in the world, including the United States ever since China resumed its legitimate seat in the United Nations, especially after the Sino-U. S diplomatic relations was established. It is necessary to get the correct understanding of how the American public looks at Taiwan issue when it has witnessed the Sino-US confrontation,the establishment of their diplomatic relations,the Cold War and the September. 11. Based on the data by the sur- vey of the American attitude toward China,this paper tries to make a comprehensive interpretation of the American' perception toward the issue by using logistic regression model and, at the same time, to further understand the factors that affect American's public opinions toward it.