CAJ | 학술논문

基于2002年和2007年投入产出表，对河北、广东、山东、江苏、河南、浙江、上海、福建和辽宁9个物流大省的比较分析表明，从产业属性看，我国物流业正进入中间产品型产业：从产业关联效应看，物流业与工业、服务业的产业关联效应显著大于农业、建筑业；从产业波及效应看，物流业的感应度系数和影响力系数普遍小于社会平均水平；从产业驱动力来看，消费对物流业的诱发效应最为显著，物流业对流出最为敏感。尽管同为物流大省，但各自之间也有诸多不同。当前转向以消费驱动为主的经济增长模式有利于物流业的大发展。各地应因地制宜，以主动发展模式推动物流业发展。
기우2002년화2007년투입산출표，대하북、엄동、산동、강소、하남、절강、상해、복건화료녕9개물류대성적비교분석표명，종산업속성간，아국물류업정진입중간산품형산업：종산업관련효응간，물류업여공업、복무업적산업관련효응현저대우농업、건축업；종산업파급효응간，물류업적감응도계수화영향력계수보편소우사회평균수평；종산업구동력래간，소비대물류업적유발효응최위현저，물류업대류출최위민감。진관동위물류대성，단각자지간야유제다불동。당전전향이소비구동위주적경제증장모식유리우물류업적대발전。각지응인지제의，이주동발전모식추동물류업발전。
With the help of input-output method, the input-output tables of 2002 and 2007, the paper conducts a comparative study on logistics industry of 9 large logistics provinces, such as Hebei, Guangdong, Shandong, Jiangsu, Henan, Zhejiang, Shanghai, Fujian, and Liaoning provinces. The results show that： logistics industry is the intermediate products industry in China; correlative effects between logistics industry and industry and service sector are significantly greater than that between logistics industry and agriculture and construction industry; influential effects of logistics industry are lower than the average level of society： the induced effect of the consumption to the logistics industry is the most significant; logistics industry is the most sensitive to the outflow. At the same time, there are many inter-provincial differences. Every province should adopt targeted measures to oromote the develooment of the logistics industry.