东北大学学报:社会科学版
東北大學學報:社會科學版
동북대학학보:사회과학판
Journal of Northeastern University(Social Science)
2013年
1期
26~31
,共null页
生产效率 经济收敛性 非参数回归
生產效率 經濟收斂性 非參數迴歸
생산효솔 경제수렴성 비삼수회귀
productivity; economic convergence; nonparametric regression
根据1995——2009年27个省的面板数据,采用数据包络分析方法测算各地区的Malmquist全要素生产率的变化率,并通过非参数局部线性回归方法对地区经济的收敛性进行了实证分析。研究结果表明,我国尚处于技术含量低的粗放型经济增长阶段,经济增长主要由要素投入的增加拉动而非技术进步驱动;西部大开发战略显著提升了西部省份的效率水平,但相比东部省份仍然较低;1995——2009年地区效率水平呈俱乐部收敛,且效率水平的收敛具有明显的阶段性,“九五”期间效率水平差距扩大,“十五”期间呈β收敛,“十一五”期间收敛不显著。
根據1995——2009年27箇省的麵闆數據,採用數據包絡分析方法測算各地區的Malmquist全要素生產率的變化率,併通過非參數跼部線性迴歸方法對地區經濟的收斂性進行瞭實證分析。研究結果錶明,我國尚處于技術含量低的粗放型經濟增長階段,經濟增長主要由要素投入的增加拉動而非技術進步驅動;西部大開髮戰略顯著提升瞭西部省份的效率水平,但相比東部省份仍然較低;1995——2009年地區效率水平呈俱樂部收斂,且效率水平的收斂具有明顯的階段性,“九五”期間效率水平差距擴大,“十五”期間呈β收斂,“十一五”期間收斂不顯著。
근거1995——2009년27개성적면판수거,채용수거포락분석방법측산각지구적Malmquist전요소생산솔적변화솔,병통과비삼수국부선성회귀방법대지구경제적수렴성진행료실증분석。연구결과표명,아국상처우기술함량저적조방형경제증장계단,경제증장주요유요소투입적증가랍동이비기술진보구동;서부대개발전략현저제승료서부성빈적효솔수평,단상비동부성빈잉연교저;1995——2009년지구효솔수평정구악부수렴,차효솔수평적수렴구유명현적계단성,“구오”기간효솔수평차거확대,“십오”기간정β수렴,“십일오”기간수렴불현저。
The regional Malmquist indexes were measured by adopting the DEA approach based on the panel data of 27 provinces in China (1995--2009), and the regional economic convergence was also empirically analyzed by using the nonparametric local linear regression method. The results showed that China is still at the stage of extensive economic growth, whose technological content is low. Its economic growth is promoted mainly by the increase of element inputs rather than technological advances. The West Development Strategy has significantly increased the efficiency of the western provinces; however, their efficiency level is still lower than that of the eastern provinces. There exists a club convergence in the regional efficiency between 1995 and 2009, and the convergence has also taken on several obvious stages. The regional efficiency gap widened during the ninth five-year plan period and the regional efficiency took on β convergence during the tenth five-year plan period, but the convergence was not significant during the eleventh five-year plan period.