CAJ | 학술논문

在分析1990年以来中国外贸发展方式转变状况的基础上，用协整检验和脉冲响应函数实证分析技术创新对外贸发展方式转变的影响。结果表明：技术创新是影响中国外贸发展方式转变的最主要因素，技术创新变量每增加1个百分点，外贸发展方式转变水平最大将提高1．91个单位；R＆D投入强度对外贸发展方式转变过程中出现的波动性解释程度最大，达到56．33％，远大于其它因素的解释程度。因此，转变中国外贸发展方式，必须加快技术创新步伐，尤其要加大R＆D投入。
재분석1990년이래중국외무발전방식전변상황적기출상，용협정검험화맥충향응함수실증분석기술창신대외무발전방식전변적영향。결과표명：기술창신시영향중국외무발전방식전변적최주요인소，기술창신변량매증가1개백분점，외무발전방식전변수평최대장제고1．91개단위；R＆D투입강도대외무발전방식전변과정중출현적파동성해석정도최대，체도56．33％，원대우기타인소적해석정도。인차，전변중국외무발전방식，필수가쾌기술창신보벌，우기요가대R＆D투입。
Based on the analysis of China＇s foreign trade development pattern from 1990, using co-inte- gration and Impulse Response Function, the paper analyzes the impact of technological innovation on the change of foreign trade development pattern. The results show： technological innovation is the most signifi- cant factor that affect the conversion of foreign trade development pattern, wherein technological innovation factors increase 1 percent, the level of foreign trade development pattern conversion will increase upmost 1. 91 units; RdkD input intensity well explains the fluctuations of foreign trade development pattern conversion, which accounts for 56.33 %, much larger than the degree of the interpretation of all other factors. There- fore, in order to change foreign trade development pattern, we must accelerate the pace of technological in- novation, especially to increase the inveslanent of R ＆ D.